Sinn Fein’s Demographic war for constitutional change is useless without middle class

Interesting take from Denis Bradley on Friday on the current impasse. In it, he accurately describes the model as I suspect SF see it: While an unreformed DUP occupy one of the corners in the boxing ring, Sinn Fein are in no danger of being removed as their opponent in the other corner. Our history and our divided loyalties have tied us into an incessant battle of numbers – the majority living in fear of becoming the minority and the …

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Stormont’s falling turnout is the reason it is losing touch with wider public opinion

This is David McCann arguing that the current malaise in Northern Irish politics has its roots in the fact that no less than 160,000 people stopped voting after 1998. From  June 1998 to March 2011 electoral turnout dropped from 70% to 54.5%. Whilst the UUP and the SDLP lost a staggering 84,000 votes each, SF only picked up 35,000 and the DUP 52,000. McCann’s thesis is that this disengagement is a prime cause of the subsequent drift of Stormont politics from the concerns of …

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The Steeples stay at home

Probably the single most striking fact about the 2010 General Election was the turnout in Fermanagh South Tyrone.

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The Assembly’s looming crisis of legitimacy

For me, the second most interesting result from the last General Election (after Long’s defeat of Robinson, of course) was the turnout figure. 57% is a far cry from the 70% turnout at the first Assembly election. Although a turnout of 57% would be considered respectable for, say, Scottish Parliament elections, hyper-political NI can’t be judged by the same yardstick. Apathy amongst the younger generation could explain a gradual decline towards the levels of political engagement seen elsewhere, but the …

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Turnout thread – 9pm

Please enter any turnout data from 9pm via the form below. It can also be added into the comments. We will pull out any interesting information as things progress. If you are on the move you can email, text or call Mick with any information. Blank

Turnout thread – 5pm

As before please enter any turnout data from 5pm via the form below. It can also be added into the comments. We will pull out any interesting information as it progresses. If you are on the move you can email, text or call Mick with any information. (comments closed moving over to 9pm thread) Blank

Turnout statistics form – please complete

Further to Mick’s ‘call to action‘, there will be numerous threads throughout polling day for discussion on turnouts. We have created the form below to ensure we can quickly process figures and generate overviews as we go. The information will be used to assist Slugger predictions during this and future elections and inform discussions. It relies on your contributions to build a broad picture. If you are gathering turnout data please take a little time out to input it via …

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