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Speculation grows of a major feud, this time primarily between the LVF and the UDA. Rosie Cowan suggests that Johnny Adair may also be getting drawn off-side of his own organisation, which may lead to a serious split in that organisation. Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.

Danny Morrison on Unionist speculation over the exclusion of Sinn Fein. “When the first IRA cessation was announced in August 1994 loyalists jubilantly painted on gable walls that the IRA had surrendered. Unionists, such as Sir Reg Empey, claimed that the cessation represented a major defeat for republicans and that in the Good Friday Agreement republicans had bought into the union and recognition of the symbols of the state, etc. This was partly wishful thinking, but mostly was aimed at …

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Paul Bew in the FT today says: “Mr Trimble’s critics have one big weakness: they do not have a clue what to do next. They dream about a form of devolution that denies Sinn Féin a place in the administration of the province. That was always implausible. It became inconceivable as soon as Sinn Féin overtook the moderate nationalist SDLP at last year’s general election to become the majority party for nationalists. The only real alternative to the agreement is …

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It seems that all parties have accepted the legitimacy of the policing board, all but for Sinn Fein. Even implacable opponents like the GAA have lifted their ban on Northern security forces from playing the game, and it is to be symbolically swept away in style next month in a competitive match between the Garda Siochana and the PSNI. So what is holding Sinn Fein back? Reader Cathal points to an article by John O’Keeffe who boiled the issue down …

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Henry McDonald reports that Sinn Fein were on board for the introduction of the proposed new post, until the IRA finally vetoed it. Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.

Despite Duncan Shipley Dalton’s decision to quit politics, Ronan Fanning notes there are passionate and strident voices within the UUP willing to sell the benefits of the Belfast Agreement but that Trimble may not have the stomach for such strident advocacy. In the short term, Trimble seems confident of getting a positive outcome to next weekend’s meeting of the UUC. Noel McAdam wonders at the ability of Unionists to undermine themselves at critical moments; “No wonder some pro-Agreement Ulster Unionists …

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Looks like the GAA might be in danger of losing €60million, because of the failure to build a national stadium for the proposed joint Irish-Scottish bid for the soccer European Championship: “..the GAA’s chances of still getting the money have not been helped by the association’s outright rejection of the Taoiseach’s request that Croke Park be made available for the Euro 2008 football championships.” From a Scottish perspective: “The SNP endlessly touts Ireland as a model of an independent state …

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Alex Attwood launches an offensive against Sinn Fein. Blair says Policing levels are crucial. Anthony McIntyre highlights the dilemma one man finds himself in; under threat from Loyalists and Republicans over what appears to be a dispute between families and cannot, on principle, go to the police. Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.

Despite the rejection of the Alliance party proposal for a ceasefire monitor by the IRA, it looks like it might go ahead regards of the thoughts of the Republican movement. Though as the Examiner points out, “Whatever transpires, it is highly unlikely that anybody other than the Northern Secretary will have the ultimate decision on what the status of any ceasefire will be”. Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.

Interesting piece from from BBC correspondent Brian Walker. The meeting in question is a yearly coming together of politicians, community workers and various classes of academics and is held under confidentiality rules. He highlights one particularly interesting thought: “…community workers on both sides of the west Belfast peaceline believed that ever higher peace walls, now numbering 27, are actually reinforcing sectarianism. People are saying, let’s create an interface and get a few million thrown at us,” said one local community …

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Unionist commentator Steven King, who has had an interesting, if very indirect, public tennis match with Peter Robinson in the last few weeks (see here and here), raises some important points in last night’s Belfast Telegraph. Addressing the dissidents in the UUP, he suggests that they as a party have to play a winable game, not one built on nostagia for times past: “Yearnings for the good old days, distrust of “high-wire acts” and other ostrich-like instincts will not get …

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Trimble comes out with a victory to hand his party on 21st September, the Police Reserves are to stay. Blair pledges his backing for the Police Service. David Ford of the Alliance party renews his support for an independent ceasefire monitor, saying: “There is an assumption that uncomfortable truths are being swept under the carpet for the sake of political expediency. Progress has been made on this issue. The Government seems to have accepted the need for some type of …

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There’s a fairly comprehensive write-up of the debate we first reported here, in yesterday’s Belfast Telegraph. The original motion from Gerry Kelly Sinn Fein, condemned all forms of sectarianism, but without naming any practical means to tackle it. This was followed by amendments from Ian Paisley DUP and then Esmond Birnie UUP and Alex Attwood – all of which called to a greater or lesser degree for practical support for the Police Service. By the way, Paisley’s explanation of the …

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Maybe that’s too big a question. What about, who started it? Or even, who continued it when they could have stopped? Although it seems from Alan McQuillan’s recent statement that the current trouble is being driven by dissident loyalists, the truth is this trouble exists in a very nasty continuum. The defence you’ll hear from some Loyalists is that there is nothing in the GFA for them. They then go on to invoke the logic of the IRA’s ‘armed struggle’, …

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Suzanne Breen’s thoughtful probing of a word that means all things to all men: “The White House works with terrorists and terrorist states – bin Laden in his mujahedin days and Saddam during the war with Iran – when it suits its strategic purposes. It entertains Provo leaders at official receptions but wants bin Laden, who remains uncompromisingly opposed to its interests, in a wooden box. Downing Street treats the Provos and the UVF, who still practise terror but don’t …

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On the subscription based Irish News site, Brian Feeney is exercised about the forthcoming election (whenever it happens), and in particular the behaviour of the dissidents within the UUP. He writes: “..they have no intention of being satisfied with anything less than Trimble’s departure and the agreement’s collapse. What makes Trimble’s position even more imponderable is that after the next elections, numbered among his reduced assembly ‘team’, for want of a better word, will be Burnside and Donaldson. Perhaps even …

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Tom Constantine warns that the pressure must be keep up for continuing reforms of the police, but that the constant rioting of the type witnessed through the summer is presenting a real threat to such reforms (more here). Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.

Eammon Holmes, Belfast born anchorman on a popular UK breakfast tv programme, has drawn support from leading members of the Orange Order and Sinn Fein for his recent attack on Belfast’s lawlessness. They all agreed that Belfast is filthy, and needs to be cleaned up fast. Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.

Gerry Adams rejects ceasefire monitor, as part of a ‘Save Dave’ campaign. Another roudn of meetings is to take place: Adams-Reid; Trimble-Adams; and Durkan-Blair. Update: Trimble-Adams talks ‘useful’ “Crisis peace process talks between the Ulster Unionist leader David Trimble and Sinn Fein president Gerry Adams have broken up without comment from either politician.” Slugger O'TooleA general account used for the daily threads and other things.