The latest Millward Brown poll for the Sunday Independent was released yesterday and it shows that Sinn Fein are Ireland’s most popular party on 26% to Fine Gaels 25%. Fianna Fail are on 19%, Labour on 6% and the Independents are on 23%.
In terms of seats the NUIM academic gives the figures as follows
Dail seat estimates based on constituency level analysis of 25 Feb Sunday Independent-Millward Brown poll FG 46 SF 45 FF 34 IND/OTH 33 LAB 1
— Adrian Kavanagh (@AdrianKavanagh) February 14, 2015
This poll is interesting as it now shows Sinn Fein support in the South (at the moment anyway) mirroring its electoral performance in Northern Ireland. If this result were actually repeated in a general election the combined Sinn Fein parliamentary party would rise from 55 members to around 90.
The trend is now with party as they go into the next election with a larger council base to help them deliver critical seats into the Sinn Fein column at the next election.
Can the Sinn Fein surge hold?
David McCann holds a PhD in North-South relations from University of Ulster. You can follow him on twitter @dmcbfs