For reference, rather than predictive qualities, RTÉ’s exit poll records the parties’ first preference vote in the 2011 Irish general election as follows (compared with 2007 result) [Added Actual 2011 first preference result in bold]
Fine Gael 36.1% (27.3%) 36.1%
Labour 20.5% (10.1%) 19.4%
Fianna Fáil 15.1% (41.6%) 17.4%
Independent/Other 15.5% (9.4%) 15.2%
Sinn Féin 10.1% (6.9%) 9.9%
Greens 2.7% (4.7%) 1.8%
Adds From the Irish Times report
The poll of 3,500 voters was carried out yesterday. The margin of error was 2.5 per cent.
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