Betfair have been in touch about the Election Prediction competition that we’re running here (below – you can read the form guide in a previous post here). We’ve already pointed to their markets here (currently showing 17/2 on a Fine Gael-only government as an outcome and 11/1 on SF getting 23+ seats). Labour are out at 19/1 for getting the most seats (pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will, eh comrades?)
Today Betfair have launched their own prediction competition – here. They’re currently forecasting Fianna Fáil on 29 seats, Fine Gael on 64, Labour on 38 and Sinn Féin on 14 with the Greens only getting one seat and the Independents getting 19.
So you can have a paid punt with Betfair or a free one here with Slugger (or both). The most accurate predictor on Slugger’s competition will win a £150 credit to their Betfair account once the dust has settled and the Republic has a new government.
We’ve also got something similar as a surprise for the night of The Slugger Awards (another Betfair sponsored prize) so make sure you get your ticket before they’re all gone.
The serious psephologists among you will probably only be interested in the more detailed constituency betting markets?
Slugger O’Toole Irish General Election Prediction Competition 2011
Complete this form to make your predictions now! NB: Your final total of seats must add up to 165. Any that don’t get disqualified….
Living in London, working as a trade union official in the film and TV industry (opinions my own). Author of “Save Democracy, Abolish Voting” (published by Demsoc in November 2017). Personal website with link to other writing here. On twitter as @paul0evans1
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