A UK General Election in 2009 – Forget it!

The latest ComRes poll for the Independent confirms the clear trend of the past three months, last registered a fortnight ago in the Times by Populus and the Telegraph by YouGov before Christmas – that the Brown surge was a dead cat bounce. That speculation about an 09 general election now looks as stale as last month’s loaf.

By Andrew Grice, the Independent’s Political Editor

The Conservative Party lead over Labour at the opinion polls has rocketed from five to 15 points in one month, with voters turning against Gordon Brown as the recession bites.

Adds Brown ” fat” row.. But here’s a guy who’s still hasn’t given up on his image.

Dave Brown, of the Independent, said that had briefly met the Prime Minister.
‘He said, “You draw me far too fat. I’m not that fat.”‘
The Guardian’s Martin Rowson met Mr Brown when he was chancellor, and recounted a similar conversation.
‘He replied to my various points of policy by saying, “Why do you draw me so fat?” I think I said it was because he was fat. He made his excuses and left.’

Matthew Taylor, former Blair head of strategy and sounding more and more like a freelance commentator these days, recommends Brown to behave like the Forlorn Hope, the regiment of lags and criminals forced to launch the first assault on an enemy’s citadel, in the certain knowledge they’d all be killed.

How about declaring a unilateral political ceasefire? Brown’s implicit message could be ‘we are reconciled to the possibility of losing the next election, what matters now is not the political skirmish but the battle against the economic crisis.

Taylor must know that for Brown, a non-partisan approach to politics is as impossible as straighforwardly admitting he’s ever done anything seriously wrong.

  • Blue Rinse Brigade

    Rejoice, rejoice, the Tories are coming!

    And what a complete and utter bloody shambolic arse of a mess they will have to fix…

  • I dont agree that an election in 2009 is certain not to happen.

    The reason I say this that the outlook for Brown is so bad that he may actually accept defeat is inevitable and will be looking at damage limitation. If he waits until 2010, there is a much greater chance of a landslide to the tories. The latter scenario makes a Conservative second term virtually a foregone conclusion.

    My money (if I had any to place a bet with) is still on October this year.