Betfair is very quiet on the Northern Irish elections. Only five constituencies are even mentioned and at the moment there’s only been activity in two of those: East Antrim and Fermanagh/South Tyrone. Someone got in early and put money on Michelle Gildernew at the half decent odds of 6/4. It’s now gone down to 1/17. That’s partly because there’s no money going into any of the Northern Ireland races. In the past (in volume markets at least) Betfair’s been a good predictor for the final results. We’ll keep a weather eye on it! And keep you posted!!
Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty