Pass Netanyahu Molyneaux’s memoirs before it’s too late

Reports are gathering that Hamas is on the run…from Syria. If so, the short-to-medium range consequences for Assad and his regime appear more terminal than many dared hope.

Moreover, if Hamas is abandoning Assad and contemplating a strategic and non-violent alliance with Fatah (supported, presumably, by many of the newly emerging Middle Eastern states) then we will enter game-change territory for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

A non-violent and united Palestinian negotiating partner obviously presents Israel with an incredible opportunity. However, as Molyneaux’s reflections on the immediate response of unionists towards the 1994 PIRA ceasefire announcement intimated, the sudden disappearance of assumed realities – however negative – associated with one’s opponent can induce fear, shock, hostility and instability.

Is Liduk about to be as destabilized and wrong-footed as Molyneaux’s UUP was in 1994?

Regrettably, one must fear that’s very likely. At a time when Israel’s democratic trajectory is bucking the tide sweeping its region, it’s difficult to imagine brave leadership emerging under Netanyahu.

That said, Netanyahu may care to review the contrasting fortunes and legacies of Molyneaux and his successor.  Soon he may have to step up – or step down.

 

  • RepublicanStones
  • Ruarai

    Hat Tip, RepublicanStones

  • s/Liduk/Likud/

  • TwilightoftheProds

    This is hopeful. Real political space could open up here – rapprochement between hamas and fateh has been stop-go, but a coherent and more unified Palestinian voice, emboldened by international moves on UN recognition, could provide the PNA with the strength and authority to cut a worthwhile deal with Israel. Benny would be a dope not to move on this; a fractured palestine can provide a legion of thorns sticking into Israel’s flesh, but a coherent Palestine can lead to a coherent lasting process – worth pissing off thousands of settlers and the odd fruitcake in the knesset.

    Interesting to see how Hezbollah react too – still cosy with Iran no doubt, but if they start to row away from Assad..even more political space.

    If Benny doesn’t weigh things up right, then Kadima might step over him….that’ll sharpen his thinking.

  • andnowwhat

    Already Israel has used Hamas’ move to peace as a way to soil Fatah rather than be positive about the move.

    Just judging by Republican callers to S-Span, patience with Israel is becoming thin.

  • Harry Flashman

    There was nothing particularly “wrong” in what Molyneaux said in 1994. He was speaking as an elder statesman who had presided over years of political logjam. The ceasefires broke that log jam and when such things occur the situation becomes unstable, hopefully in a good way, but perhaps not if care is not taken.

    What Molyneaux was warning his former colleagues was to be ready adapt to a rapidly changing dynamic and not to rely on the same old tactics in the past.

    Perfectly logical and commonsense advice as far as I could see and I wondered what all the fuss was about.