Paddy Power odds favour Dodds and DUP to retain 30 plus seats

Here’s a nice piece of market making from the entrepreneurial Paddy Power’s odds on a successor to Peter Robinson. Nigel Dodds is 4/5 on, which is probably just about what you might expect for a deputy leader. The boul Paddy says “From a betting point of view it’s beginning to look like a one horse race with eighty percent of the bets placed so far supporting Mr Dodds”. We’ll see if it stays that way when and under what circumstances there is an actual leadership competition.

From a party point of view though, this is good news viz a viz their odds on holding their dominant position in the Assembly next year, given the UCU-NF project is now in tatters, and the TUV dog so utterly failed to bark. You sense several tense shoulders beginning to relax at Dundela Avenue since the small hours of Friday morning.

Here’s the details from the presser:

Next Leader of the DUP

4/5 Nigel Dodds

9/4 Arlene Foster

5/1 Ian Paisley Jnr

8/1 Jeffrey Donaldson

12/1 Sammy Wilson

16/1 Edwin Poots

20/1 Nelson McCausland

20/1 David Simpson

25/1 Robin Newton

Number of DUP seats at the next Assembly Election

3/1 Over 36 seats

5/4 32 to 36 seats

7/4 27 to 31 seats

10/1 22 to 26 seats

12/1 17 to 21 seats

16/1 Under 17 seats

Number of Sinn Fein seats at the next Assembly Election

10/11 Over 30 seats

3/2 28 to 30 seats

6/1 25 to 27 seats

12/1 21 to 24 seats

22/1 20 seats or under


All prices remain subject to fluctuation.

Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty

Living History 1968-74

A unique, once-in-a-lifetime 10-week course at Stranmillis University College Belfast featuring live, in-depth interviews with leading figures from this tumultuous era in Northern Ireland’s cultural and political history.

Live interviews with: Bernadette McAliskey, Austin Currie, Brid Rogers, Baroness Blood, Dennis Bradley, Baroness Paisley, Lord Kilclooney, Tim McGarry, Danny Morrison, Sir Kenneth Bloomfield and others…

Find out more…