Mugabe wins free and fair election

I am usually extremely reticent to predict the outcome of elections. However, on this occasion I am going to stick my neck out and announce the result of the Zimbabwe Parliamentary and Presidential elections which are due to be held on the 29th March; though I will be delighted to be proven wrong.As I mentioned in my last blog on Zimbabwe there were hopes that Simba Makoni a former finance minister might try to stand for ZANU-PF rather than Mr. Mugabe. This appears to have been an unfounded hope. The opposition MDC is trying to hold talks with ZANU-PF to ensure that the elections are free and fair; this seems a rather forlorn hope.

Although schadenfreude is not a particularly nice thing and one can understand not wanting to use Zimbabwean money considering the inflation rate; it is interesting to note that one of the UK’s most controversial tycoons Nicholas van Hoogstraten has been arrested for allegedly breaking foreign exchange laws. Mr. Van Hoogstraten who apparently owns 200 properties in Zimbabwe has previously described Mugabe as “100% decent and incorruptible”; and he after all would be well placed to identify such an upright person.

  • Crataegus

    I think you may just be right on this occasion.

    Sad sad country. What a difference one man can make.

  • Jon Juan

    I remember listening to the radio one evening in Spring 1997 – I was briefly in Dublin at the time. It was before Tony Blair’s ascent, with a Tory government which was still financially underwriting the deliberately stalled land reform process in Zimbabwe, also before the Congo War which embroiled Zimbabwe – among other neighbouring countries – in a draining and futile scramble for hegemony in Central Africa, and at a time when the generality of news consumers were willing to give Mugabe the benefit of the doubt as some sort of international statesman of the post-colonial era.

    I was startled to hear breaking news of Mugabe’s plane in trouble over Shannon airport, where he had just refuelled before leaving Ireland. It was circling, and seemed in severe danger of crashing. It eventually made an emergency landing, and normal service was resumed for the Mugabe regime. I’ve often thought of this moment since; its post-colonial ironies (that Mugabe might die while overflying another nation born of violent guerilla warfare and with stillborn land reform), our subsequent reassessments of Mugabe, the status of Shannon and the axis of governance in the Republic – the moment seemed totemic at a time when relations between Britain and the world, and Ireland and Britain were shifting radically…

    If we could arrange an arm-in-arm exit for Mugabe and Hoogstraaten the world would be well served. Might I fantasise a shared cell?

  • Greenflag

    ‘ was startled to hear breaking news of Mugabe’s plane in trouble over Shannon airport, where he had just refuelled before leaving Ireland. It was circling, and seemed in severe danger of crashing.’

    Naw you only got the politically correct news . Mugabe had paid for the refuelling with some of his new Zimbabwean dollars – his officials maintaining they were hard currency. The Shannon authorities discovered they had been duped and sent a call to the plane to return and pay their bill in real money or the Irish Government would issue an international arrest warrrant for the ‘richest’ tyrant/thief in Africa 🙂

  • Greenflag

    ‘What a difference one man can make.’

    Indeed . Had Lord Halifax become British PM instead of Winston Churchill -Germany’s Nazis would have won WW2.

    Had Bonnie Prince Charlie not been duped about a false English Army of 9,000 at Derby he could have taken the throne -The Hanoverians had already packed their bags and were heading for the Channel Ports .

    Had Gladstone passed his Home Rule Bill -Ireland would today be just another Wales or Scotland.

    Had Nixon been President in 1962 instead of JFK , Cuba would be a radioactive wasteland -100 million Americans and a similar number of Russians would have been a-bombed and Germany a the UK and most of central and western Europe would be uninhabitable.

    And we Irish- North and South would have been exterminated by a slightly off target ICBM launched from somewhere near Leningrad .

    Had Adolf Hitler not been rejected as an undergraduate student at an the Art College Europe there would be no Middle East conflict today .

    Waht would the last 40 years of Norn Iron history have been without Ian Paisley ?

    One can only imagine not that it does any good now !

  • Dread Cthulhu

    Grenflag: “Had Nixon been President in 1962 instead of JFK , Cuba would be a radioactive wasteland -100 million Americans and a similar number of Russians would have been a-bombed and Germany a the UK and most of central and western Europe would be uninhabitable. ”

    Not likely, starting with the fact that Nixon would not have let what eventually became the Bay of Pigs fiasco turn out the way it did. The anti-Castro forces had been promised air-support, with JFK losing his nerve (or maybe the amphetamines his quack doctor proscribed were running low). More logically, either Nixon would have not let the landing get so far out of concept (how many “covert insertions” come with DD Shermans??) or would have pulled the trigger on air support. Ergo, no game of chicken over the nuclear missiles, no nuclear Armageddon.

    Also, not wholly convinced the Soviets were up to playing nuclear hard-ball over Cuba at the time of the Bay of Pigs.

    On the other hand, the world is lucky Pappa Joe, rum-runner, Nazi-sympathizer and would be puppeteer, had a debilitating stroke.

  • John

    Its very, very easy to look upon the present difficulties of Zimbabwe and ascribe them as being the result of just one man’s ‘evil’or incompetance, but the reasons are more complex. Zimbabwe was never South Africa, with its small but influential liberal elite who helped to foster a degree of civil tolerance and balance after independence. The colonials in Zimbabwe behaved despicably and would have been, were they were not so desperately needed, hammered, quite rightly, after independence. Instead you had a situation that the black majority, ill educated and poorly equiped to take up the positions needed after independence,coupled with the white flight of engineers etc resulted in a catastrophic deterioration in the country. It is poor analysis that disregards the refusal of the African community to condem Mugabe as being evidence of their backwardness or complicidness in the plight of its people.

  • Greenflag

    ‘Not likely, starting with the fact that Nixon would not have let what eventually became the Bay of Pigs fiasco turn out the way it did.’

    LOL

    You could be right . On the other hand Nixon by late 1962 would have been too busy working with his ‘advisors’ planning his Creep re-election breaking and entering Democratic Party Headquarters to have noticed anything happening in Cuba . By the time Nixon could have dragged away for long enough from his booze and paranoia enough Soviet missiles would have been installed on Cuba to make a nuclear ‘exchange ‘ all but inevitable.

  • Greenflag

    ‘Instead you had a situation that the black majority, ill educated and poorly equiped to take up the positions needed after independence,coupled with the white flight of engineers etc resulted in a catastrophic deterioration in the country.’

    Actually the economic deterioration began in the mid 1970’s under Ian Smith . The war eventually only made matters worse . The refusal of the white minority to face up to the political realities in the mid 1970’s will be seen in retrospect as where the country went wrong.

    However there’s no doubt that responsibility for the present horror show must be laid at Mugabe’s door . Without his ramplant megalomania ,kleptocratic rule , and insane economic policies Zimbabwe would not be in it’s present dire state.

    ‘It is poor analysis that disregards the refusal of the African community to condem Mugabe as being evidence of their backwardness or complicidness in the plight of its people. ‘

    True . About on a par with expecting an unarmed Northern Irish Catholic to condemn the UUP, Orange Order, Ian Paisley and the UDA/UVF on July 12th in 1972 on the Shankill or in East Belfast/Carrickfergus etc .

  • sean

    I am also extremely reticent to predict the outcome of a election and will predict that if Mr Mugabe party ZANU FP wins the election on March 28, that the western poodle media at the bequest of their masters in western intelligence services will call it a fraud and claim that their creation the so called MDC ,( Movement for democratic reform),was cheated. Already we are seeing the signs pointing in that direction.What the hell has Zimbabwe got do with a website that is mainly a site for N.Irish politics and culture. Now we have opened up the website to problems and politics in other countries , lets start a thread on Democracy or the lack of it in the Saudi Arabia, or any other of the countries in the middle east,run by tyrants and despots and propped up by western imperial powers, the same powers, that are preparing to shout fraud if Mr Mugabe and his party wins on March 28.

  • overehere

    Will the people take the cue from Kenya and go on a rampage if he does win the election. I went to see a play a few years ago called “Breakfast with Mugabe” it was one of the scariest things I saw in ages.

  • sean

    Don’t be surprised,(if Mr Mugabe and his party wins ), that the MDC will turn violent, after all their leader Morgan(MI5)Tranagie,has treated violence in the past to unseat the popular leader and his party. But he will be wise enough to do whatever his handlers in western intelligence advises him to do , after all he is their baby.