Left and right getting crunched under weight of big battalions?

World by Storm is expressing what a few people that Slugger has spoken also feel: that the left (and the right) is getting crunched in favour of the ‘big battalions’ (ie Fianna Fail and Fine Gael), in a way that few in the media seems to have anticipated.

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  • BogExile

    The Kaleidoscope has been shaken, the pieces are in flux…

    Are Sinn Fein fluxed?

  • Mick Fealty

    Way too early to say! There are no safe seats under STV, especially for parties as tiny as Sinn Fein. It certainly looks as though Mary Lou will struggle to repay the time and energy headquarters has invested in the short term. But SF don’t do things with a mind only to the short term.

    I doubt the southern party will be that surprised. There’s already talk of the next council elections amongst activists. But the leadership pitch about being ready for government is looking decidedly ropey.

    Although I suspect Labour might be ahead of them in the queue for the ‘analyst’s couch’.

  • BogExile

    Wishful thinking on my part. Maybe that’s what you get when you try to persuaade the electorate to nationalise socialism 🙂

  • IJP

    Mick

    Firstly, SF is supposed to be an all-Ireland party. Activists were on this site confidently predicting 11+, some even in the teens. So can you clarify the “southern party won’t be that surprised” line?

    Secondly, even a slight gain is bad news, particularly if it comes only in the (geographical) north. SF could be left with Ferris plus representation only in the border counties. I can’t help but think that’s bad for a party which makes such play out of being “all-island”.

    (But yes, Labour and the PDs will be heading towards the couch first!)