Trimble up against it, Durkan in the balance…

The polls are closing and people trickle home. There’s lots of stories doing the rounds. Most journalists think it’s going to go wht way bookies had it and we may find that some of the so-called tight races are not quite as tight as we thought. Of the previously condemned, it looks to us that Mark Durkan is most likely to get his nose in front.The poor turnout at Trimble’s voting photo op this morning indicates that most journalists believe that he’s close to an exit from Westminster seat – the first since Ramsey McDonald back in the thirties. One confided Slugger this morning, “if he does go life will be boring without him. What are we journalists going to write about?”

One of his workers in Portadown was happy with the people who were turning out, and the numbers in which they were turning out. He felt that the lack of passion in the campaign may have demotivated the very people who had turned against Trimble to come out and vote. “These are good solid middle class people. And we are a middle class party”.

Well, no predictions from me. Trimble has a reputation as NI’s most accomplished Houdini act bar none. It’s a little unnerving to be betting against him re-taking the Upper Bann seat. However, the UUP will be hoping and praying that those people most upset with Trimble four or five years ago are not simply the middle classes having their revenge cold.

Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty