Mark Devenport with a very apposite point. In Britain, where polls are issued by the major papers every day the bookies are something of an afterthought. Here the Bookie is king pundit! Considering most of those putting down the money are not ordinary punters, but political participants, there is a possiblity that the prices that have been quoted so often and regularly are possibly artifically tipping public confidence in particular ways. It seems to me this has been exagerated by the unusually high number of tight races in this year’s election – in which the tribal vote is face with a choice of which horse is most likely to win the race.
Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty