David Trimble thinks that David Burnside is likely to finish 500-1000 votes ahead. We are hearing conflicting reports. Indeed one senior journalist told Slugger of one Catholic she knew of in Crumlin who was going to vote Willie McCrea. Even Trimble himself remarked that “sometimes David doesn’t seem to understand that a lot of his votes come from Alliance voters” – refering presumably to Burnside’s hardline pitch to realign the party with the DUP. Precisely the opposite to Sylvia Hermon’s tactic of targeting Alliance voters. As one alliance insider told Slugger, “It would seem that Hermon’s strategy is the more likely to pay off”.