At the weekend, Fiach Kelly of the Irish Indo, noted that in the two weekend polls at the weekend, there was only one mover in one (RED C)… Fianna Fail is down from 26pc to 22pc, while Fine Gael is up from 26pc to 28pc, and back on top after a period when they were neck and neck. There were no changes in the ratings for Sinn Fein (17pc), Labour (12pc) or Independents (21pc). The poll by Red C for …
One thing you don’t hear said too often about the political situation in the Republic and that is just how overall, how remarkably stable it seems to have become. Well, at least for the Independents, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail. There is some volatility in Sinn Fein’s support and a lot of speculation about how hard the Labour vote actually is. The latest poll is from Red C in the Sunday Business Post: Fine Gael 32% (30) Labour 15% (15) …
Fascinating chart pulled together by World By Storm which lays out the poll patterns over the last year in the Republic. He notes two features… the rise of Sinn Fein and the dropping back of Fine Gael from their heights in the immediate aftermath of the election… But for me what the longitudinal picture demonstrates more than anything else is that going into their first Ard Fheis as a government party in many years just how far out Fine Gael …
It looks like Michael D Higgins has lost his clear lead; suggesting he was previously drawing on large number of weak preferences (which is not necessarily a bad thing in a stand alone STV race): Norris 21, Higgins 18 (down from 36%), McGuinness 16, Davis 13 (19%), Mitchell 13 (down from 24%), Gallagher 11 (21%), Dana 6. There’s some secondary (weaker) evidence which suggests Norris and McGuinness will both struggle to gain transfers. But, as Tommy O’Brien on Politics.ie notes, …
According to RTE this evening: “The Red C poll in tomorrow’s Sunday Business Post shows Fine Gael on 35%, up two points since the last Sunday Business Post Poll one week ago. “Labour is on 22%, up one. Fianna Fáil is up one to 17%, Sinn Féin unchanged on 13%, the Greens also unchanged on 2%, while Independents and others drop four to 11%.” As a useful addendum, here’s Noel Whelan points out that his opponent’s hopes that Enda will …
Mark Reckless is Tory MP for Rochester and Strood. He’s also the grandson of one Henry McDevitt, who briefly sat as a Fianna Fail TD for the now defunct Donegal East constituency. It seems Mr Reckless has taken it upon himself to commission a Red C poll on the question of whether the good folk of the Irish Republic would like to return to the calmer waters of the sterling zone. (H/T Gawain) He has hosted the detailed report on …
As Aristotle once remarked, ‘Nature abhors a vacuum’. And the ‘empty space’ at the top of the Irish political game at the moment is the one Taoiseach Brian Cowen should have been occupying for the last two years. A poll in today’s Irish Sun marks a new low point in Cowen’s leadership of his country, and his party who dropped four points on a similar poll conducted just two weeks ago. Fianna Fail now rests at just 13%. It is …
