Red C Poll: Dip for independents, but all parties pretty much as they were…

So here’s the latest poll in the south. In my reading there’s not a lot of change, but perhaps a slight hardening upwards of the government parties fortunes. Independent/others 27% (-3); Fine Gael 26% (+2); Sinn Féin 21% (-); Fianna Fáil 17% (-1) & Labour 9% (+2) No real change from the last time this poll was taken, but you’ve got to think that with the economic climate is starting to shift perceptively, there must be some play for government …

Read more…

Red C Poll: Government parties ‘stabilise’ with Fianna Fail steady as she goes…

Here goes with the rest of that Paddy Power/Red C poll… Much of the reasoning of holding it or at least announcing it now is the legislating for the abortion issue. And there’s some interesting detail on that, but first the figures for the parties… Fine Gael 29 per cent Labour 13 per cent. Fianna Fáil 21 per cent Sinn Féin 16 per cent. Independents, the Green Party and others 21 per cent. It hasn’t shifted much from Behaviours and …

Read more…

Danny Kennedy is *no longer* the bookie’s 1/2 favourite … (updated)

Update – So by the time Paddy Power stopped taking bets, Nesbitt was the favourite, ahead of Kennedy, which at least points to confidence within the betting community (how many of them are UUP members?) of Nesbitt’s chances of success. Perhaps the background talk of Danny Kennedy pulling out of the race and backing Mike Nesbitt in exchange for keeping his ministry are not so far fetched … As the evening wore on, the odds changed Thursday 15th… 18:45 – …

Read more…

And they’re off (well, they’re under starters orders…)

So the 2011 Irish General Election (or #ge11) has just got closer as the Greens withdraw from the government; As Colm Tobin (the other one) puts it, it’s “the equivalent of Bin Laden sprinting towards the Twin Towers with a fire extinguisher.” So instead of a March election, it’s starting to look like a date in February. And what do the bookies think about the outcome now? The markets are unusually interesting for broad election outcomes as there are a …

Read more…