Early election is a big advantage to the two larger parties…

Worth watching this periscope from Bill White and Basil McCrea from last night. Two main points:

  1. there’s a surfeit of votes in the Referendum of June over the last Assembly election of May. Bill speculates that if that comes out, then it may make a significant difference to the outcome. Given that was a larger than expected Leave vote, that might have some interesting effects.
  2. an early election is advantageous to the larger parties, so don’t expect too much in the way of talks before they go to the polls. We see already that both Sinn Fein and the DUP are already busy trying to frame election as anti each other (which is, as they say, ‘good for business’).