Is the next election becoming a contest between Fine Gael and Sinn Fein?

Interesting poll out in the Irish Times today showing a continuing improvement in both Fine Gael and Sinn Fein’s vote. Whilst Fianna Fail remain steady at just around 19% and Labour are stuck at 7% .

Should we see between now and February a series of polls reflecting similar results, it will be hugely helpful to Fine Gael as they attempt to sideline Fianna Fail and make the election a choice between Gerry Adams and Enda Kenny.  Ironically, Fine Gael’s strategy for the election boosts Sinn Fein amongst the anti-government section of the electorate.

Anyway here are the results;


If you want to see a longer trend over a period of time;


Adrian Kavanagh in his blog breaks down some of opportunities for the parties at the next election. 


David McCann holds a PhD in North-South relations from University of Ulster. You can follow him on twitter @dmcbfs