Is the next election becoming a contest between Fine Gael and Sinn Fein?

Interesting poll out in the Irish Times today showing a continuing improvement in both Fine Gael and Sinn Fein’s vote. Whilst Fianna Fail remain steady at just around 19% and Labour are stuck at 7% .

Should we see between now and February a series of polls reflecting similar results, it will be hugely helpful to Fine Gael as they attempt to sideline Fianna Fail and make the election a choice between Gerry Adams and Enda Kenny.  Ironically, Fine Gael’s strategy for the election boosts Sinn Fein amongst the anti-government section of the electorate.

Anyway here are the results;

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If you want to see a longer trend over a period of time;

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Adrian Kavanagh in his blog breaks down some of opportunities for the parties at the next election. 

 

David McCann holds a PhD in North-South relations from University of Ulster. You can follow him on twitter @dmcbfs