Labour ahead of the SNP

With ten days to go to the Glenrothes by election Labour have edged ahead of the SNP in Scotland as a whole, according to a YouGov poll in the tartan edition of the Sunday Times.

Support for Labour at Westminster is up by six percentage points since the start of last month, on 38%, with the SNP nine points behind on 29% (-5%), the Conservatives on 20% (+3%) and the Liberal Democrats on 11% (-2%)

For the Scottish parliament the SNP is on 39%, down three points since the last YouGov poll in the first week of September, while Labour are on 31%, up five points.

If an Independence referendum was held tomorrow, 31% of voters said they would vote in favour of separatism while 53% said they would vote against. The remaining 16% were undecided or would not vote.

That may not be translated into a win locally in Glenrothes itself where the SNP are still cautiously rated the likely winners. Certainly the Bruns looked as if they were hedging their bets on the result when they slunk into the battleground last week, first wifie then the big yin.
What ever happened to those assurances that after the PR roller coaster of Cherie, Sarah Brown would stay in the background? First, she introduces Gordon’s “speech of a lifetime” at the party conference; now she’s going solo ( though ringed with minders and staying mum) in a by election! Whatever next? Not that she actually shone walking the streets of Glenrothes. Nobody could have guessed that she was a star PR executive before she tied the knot with Gordon. The PM himself “broke precedent” to campaign in a by election he couldn’t ignore in his own backyard, especially now that the result is no longer crucial to his survival.

He had two points to make in a soft “exclusive” interview in Glasgow’s Sunday Mail:

TheSNP have not moved quickly enough to stop house seizures.”… And “What has been exposed is the idea you are better off walking out of the United Kingdom. No one in England said we shouldn’t have put £37billion into rescuing the Scottish banks…. The SNP’s opposition to the HBOS-Lloyds TSB merger is a mistake because they haven’t any alternative.”

In his second article in successive weeks in the Sunday Times (which is hostile to him but seems to dominate the weekend comment scene) Alex Salmond repeated his claim that an independent Scotland would have dealt with the financial crisis least as well as Ireland did, listed his own measures and called for more powers for the Parliament. On that at least, Labour is likely to agree.

  • slug

    Is Alec Salmon’s honey-moon over?

  • Prionsa Eoghan

    >>”SUPPORT for the Scottish National party has plummeted following criticism of Alex Salmond’s handling of the international financial crisis.”< >”The results suggest the nationalists now face an uphill battle to win the Glenrothes seat from Labour in next month’s by-election.”< >”The survey appears to confirm the view that Salmond has misjudged the public mood by seeking to politicise the credit crisis with only 23% of voters trusting him most to lead Scotland through the current turmoil compared with 42% for Brown.”< >”However, the first minister can take comfort that support for separatism remains relatively consistent.”< >”The SNP’s opposition to the HBOS-Lloyds TSB merger is a mistake because they haven’t any alternative.”<

  • The slinky Browns and the sleekit Salmond. What a shock and awesome threesome!!

    [aside to Eoghan – and to Slugger bloggers]It would appear that the SNP Minister of Transport has done a volte face on the Rathlin ferry contract fiasco.

    I’m told that Calmac/Rathlin Ferries representatives were permitted to provide full disclosure to the DRD in-house investigation despite allegations that the Scottish administration had directed its own company not to raise objections following the latter’s loss of the contract in highly questionable circumstances.

    Stewart Stevenson can’t claim ignorance of events as he’s been in receipt of briefings via NALIL blog for several months. This isn’t the first time that Stevenson and Calmac have crossed swords.