25% at Lower Glen Road…

By noon… according to one report Hmmm… Some people may have a certain Celtic match on their minds?Update: That reading is from one box which regularly comes in with bulk votes early on. It’s basically from the older part of Andersonstown, which it has a more elderly demographic than other parts of the constituency. Earlier Mass at St Theresa’s brings people out earlier there than elsewhere. The football factor has certainly got to be in the mix too!

So to all you Doddsites, it is not yet time to panic!

  • shamo

    UEFA Champions League
    7 Mar 19:45
    AC MILAN v
    CELTIC

    Prediction:
    Celtic – 1
    Sinn F̩in Р0

    😉

  • interested

    Mick,

    is that turn-out? and who is reporting? Very little detail there…

  • slug

    That sounds like good news for Sinn Fein’s goal of that fifth seat.

  • Wow!

  • slug

    Polling in Mid Ulster over 25% now according to one source.

  • Concerned Loyalist

    Or maybe they are adhering to the old Provie motto “VOTE EARLY VOTE OFTEN”! lol.

    I heard on Newsline at half 1 that turnout was high in West Belfast. It also mentioned that it was high in the West, another nationalist/republican stronghold (Foyle, West Tyrone, Fermanagh/South Tyrone) so as is traditional a high proportion of the nationalist/republican electorate are using their vote (in some cases other people’s a lot of people in my community would contest).
    However, Newsline also reported that turnout was high in the North (East Londonderry), my very own constituency, so maybe the Unionist apathy that I was afraid of won’t come to fruition…one can only hope!

    In all honesty though Unionist apathy is not as big a concern here as it is in somewhere like West Belfast where it is imperative the people of the Shankill come out to vote for Diane Dodds and stop the Shinners gaining a fifth seat and further marginalising one of the most beleagured and disadvantaged communities in Western Europe.

    In my East Londonderry constituency the fight is not between Unionism and Nationalism but for the fourth Unionist Assembly seat. This will be between Adrian McQuillan of the DUP, (the former Worshipful Master of the Orange Lodge my flute band walks with on the Twelfth) and Norman Hillis of the UUP, a shopkeeper in Portrush. There is a quota from the West (Dungiven etc) and South (Kilrea etc) of the constituency for 2 Nationalist seats and these should go to Brolly of SF/IRA and Dallat of SDLP without too much of a chance from Orla Beattie of the SDLP and Lundy Leonard of SF/IRA respectively. I do think it’s important that McQuillan takes a third seat for the DUP alongside Gregory Campbell and George Robinson who should be elected comfortably. Last time out Coleraine Councillor and Sports Council member Maurice Bradley from Windy Hall stood for the DUP and beat Hillis in first preference votes if I remember correctly, but David McClarty and even the SDLP’s transfers got him home narrowly in the end…hopefully the DUP can go one step further and oust Hillis this time, for the sake of strong representation for our community rather than wishy-washy, mealy-mouthed pillocks from the UUP who you only see round the working-class estates of Coleraine when they need their vote…

  • Concerned Loyalist

    N.B. “without too much of a challenge” the middle of the third paragraph should read…

  • Joe Unionist

    A vote for the DUP is a vote for Sinn Fein in government. How could anyone calling themselves a “loyalist” vote for the DUP?

  • BonarLaw

    Concerned Loyalist

    You mean East Londonderry UUP go into council estates? I bet they keep that quiet at the meetings in Cunningham House.

  • Inspector Clouseau

    Surely Cubitts intervention(he could do without the hassle you know-BBC Newsline last night) will stop the DUP taking a 3rd in East Londonderry and give it to the UUP.

  • Mick Fealty

    Okay. Detail.

    That reading is from one box which regularly comes in with bulk votes early on. It’s basically from the older part of Andersonstown, which it has a more elderly demographic than other parts of the constituency. Earlier Mass at St Theresa’s brings people out earlier there than elsewhere. The football factor has certainly got to be in the mix too!

    So to all you Doddsites, it is not yet time to panic!

  • darth rumsfeld

    Agree joe, though perhaps not for the reason you advance. surely loyalists are all on board the UUP “yesyesyes” train, like davy Dictionary, and the loyalists helping fred cobain in N Belfast?

  • Yokel

    Like all these apparently spectacular stories, when you look behind it its usually more mundane.

    Mid Ulster is the old ‘life or death’ type of location where turnout is likely to be good.

    Brisk turnout could equal:

    Disaffection.

    It could be moderates coming out to urge on a deal by ensuring that the DUP& SF keep their current seats or get more.

    It could be fear factor voters a la that blokey at Belmont.

    A nice dry day.

  • Neil Johnston

    Wife says that the voters are still turning out heavily in Moira! Anecdotal only – no statistical comparsions!

  • Yokel

    Ok, well what we are getting suggestions of is strong polling in some nationalist areas and some strong polling in some Unionist areas.

    Could be anything.

  • John

    Mick, could you check your email for messages?

  • Dr Strangelove

    Concerned Loyalist – If the DUP spent as much energy bringing about Loyalist decommissioning than engaging in their base sectarian politics, then they might garner some support from the Catholic community.

    As it is, they do not. I suppose they like to keep that Loyalist bogeyman on the sidelines.. just in case.

  • Yokel

    Beeb reports strong polling around Portaferry.

  • kris

    Very slow polling reported in Carrickfergus.

  • dodrade

    I live opposite a polling station in West Tyrone, turnout seems at least as good as last time.

  • susan

    BBC reports polling “slightly up” in many stations, including East Derry, North Antrim, parts of Strangford:

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/northern_ireland/6422879.stm

  • Picador

    When does counting begin?

  • Gerry & the peacemakers

    Boxes open at 9am. Turnout by early lunchtime and first results by 2.30 ish.

  • West Tyrone

    Turnout is down across West Tyrone. Most of the boxes, both unionist and nationalist areas in Omagh are in and around the 60% mark whereas you would normally expect it to be nearer 70%.

    No definite word from Strabane but one Policeman I spoke to who had been down described Strabane town as “quiet”.

  • BeardyBoy

    If the DUP can get the nursing home vote out again they should romp home in EL

  • Derek Reaney

    Turnout over 70% in Unionist areas of North Tyrone,

    Strabane Town in the mid 50%

  • slug

    Wonder what is bringing out all these unionists in Tyrone?!

  • Derek Reaney

    Bresland

  • A O’L

    Well, he can’t fail to do a little better than the Strabane based DUP candidate in the previous West Tyrone assembly election

  • armchairgenerals

    It is very easy to spot the politically active contributors to Sluggers -they weren’t here today.

    Some get to read all this crap at 2230. Others have been giving opinions from the armchair.

    Do they share a theme?

  • SuperSoupy

    Just the Unionist areas of N.Tyrone?

    Give us box numbers them.

    Unless you are bullshitting. It’s something we can check rather than blindly believe ahead of the count.

    Which are the Unionist boxes with a large turnout, which are the others with a poor turnout?

    Ante up or stop pointless spinning of what will be resolved tomorrow.

    – put your money where your mouth is and then change it when embarassed.

  • middle-class taig

    “Do they share a theme?”

    Jobs?

  • Wonder what is bringing out all these unionists in Tyrone?!

    They always turn out heavily; and Strabane town always a little less so. Big towns in the West turn out less than rural areas, full stop. Mid fifties would indeed be low but that may not be accurate; there are five polling stations, if I recall correctly, in Strabane; did your friend sample them all?

  • A O’L

    In fairness, I’d believe him soupy. The Artigarvan and Dunamanagh areas of North Tyrone would be the 2 main unionist stations in West Tyrone and as I understand it polling was fairly brisk. But the turnover is still fairly high overall in West Tyrone. 65% was mentioned somewhere and when you factor 2,500 postal votes into the equation it’ll be close to 70%. There’s isn’t much to be decided in WT anyway, you’ve got SF guaranteed 2 and DUP guaranteed 1. Unless the UUP and SDLP totally disintegrate, which doesn’t appear too likely, they’ll get one each, leaving SF fighting with Deeny for the final seat – and given the figures quoted by Mr Reaney in Strabane that’ll leave Doherty or McGill. Anyway, long story short Barry Duff will top the poll