Interesting poll figures from the Belfast Telegraph this morning (not yeat online). Amongst people who said they intended to vote, the DUP leads the field at 25% (-0.5% from ’03), with Sinn Fein behind by just three percent at 22% (-1.5%) The SDLP are at 20% (+3%). But our new advertisers, the UUP (-7%), are suffering at 16%(-9%). The Alliance have gone up from 3.7% in ’03 to a full 9% now. The Greens are already showing a respectable 3%. Though at plus or minus 3% margin of error, these figures should be taken with a modicum of salt. Most noticable is that there would appear to be a one per cent lead of nationalist parties over unionist parties (42%-41%), which if reflected in the poll next week,
would would not mean Martin rather than Ian would be the next first minister – (see commenter ? below).
Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty