A poll for The SUN conducted by Lucid Talk online with 2,886 responses (balanced by gender, age, area of residence and community background) shows a majority at this stage voting to stay within the European Union. (The poll has a margin of error of 3.9%)
The headline figures show that if a vote were held today 55% would vote to stay within the EU, 29.4% would vote to leave and more than 14% are undecided.
Breaking those figures down the poll finds;
Nationalists (Sinn Fein, SDLP, People Before Profit)
Stay in-74.07%
Leave- 10.49%
Undecided-14.81%
Wont vote- 0.62%
Unionists (DUP, UUP, TUV, UKIP, Conservatives, PUP)
Leave-63.6%
Stay- 20%
Undecided-16%
Wont vote- 0.4%
Others (Alliance/Greens etc)
Stay in- 82.39%
Leave- 6.29%
Undecided- 11.32%
I notice in the commentary box, Bill White from Lucid Talk says from his previous research in October that people wishing to stay in the EU is down 1.5%, whilst those wishing to leave is up 1%. He also notes that the number of Nationalists wishing to stay has fallen from 90% to 74%, with the bulk of that drop now undecided.
David McCann holds a PhD in North-South relations from University of Ulster. You can follow him on twitter @dmcbfs
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