Westminster’s voting system turns elections into a tactical guessing game

As voters go to the polls, we can be sure that tactical voting has the potential to play a decisive role in who gets elected. Recent research commissioned by the Electoral Reform Society in Britain suggests that one in five electors there will vote for a candidate or party best positioned to keep out someone they disliked. This is also a familiar feature of Northern Irish political life, with the truth being that in First Past the Post elections people …

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General Election 2015 – the bookmaker’s perspective

This week I attended the talk given by Peter Kellner, President of YouGov.  It was fascinating to hear one of the leading lights of the political polling community explain his thoughts and opinions on the coming election, where issues such as the rise of the SNP and UKIP has made this a uniquely difficult election to call. Previously, I had taken the approach of using council election results to gauge the strength of opinion in each constituency. This time I …

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