EP19 – Slugger O'Toole

The Brexit Party look set to dominate at the European Elections in Great Britain as the Conservatives collapse

Peter Donaghy (Salmon of Data) on May 20, 2019, 2:18 am | Readers 2690

The Conservatives are on the verge of being virtually wiped out at this Thursday’s European election, whilst the Brexit Party look set to improve on the 24 seats that Ukip won at the 2014 poll. Using the data from this YouGov poll and analysis on the number of seats won by the vote received in the 2014 election, I estimated the probability of each party winning each seat in each European constituency. The Brexit Party would be, by far, the …

Naomi Long is the strong favourite to win Northern Ireland’s third European Parliament seat

Peter Donaghy (Salmon of Data) on May 19, 2019, 1:52 pm | Readers 11805

At the European elections on Thursday the 23rd of May, Northern Ireland will elect three MEPs, who will each serve a term of indeterminate length between zero and five years. Of the incumbents (Martina Anderson of Sinn Féin and Diane Dodds of the DUP), both are guaranteed to keep their seats. Danny Kennedy of the UUP is running following the retirement of Jim Nicholson. Both Naomi Long of the Alliance Party and Colum Eastwood of the SDLP are in contention …

Kennedy “This is the time to vote for stability”

David McCann on May 17, 2019, 12:06 pm | Readers 1072

The Ulster Unionist candidate, Danny Kennedy launched his bid for the European Parliament today. Speaking at the Stormont Hotel he outlined his pitch for the third seat; Nearly three years since the European referendum took place it seems like we have made no progress at all. The 29 March exit date is long past and we seem no closer to agreeing the terms of our departure than we did on the 27 June 2016. Currently in British politics every day …