Pollsters predict Tories reaching 300

On the headline poll trends we’re heading for a Conservative minority government and lengthening odds on Commons electoral reform. Peter Kellner, the YouGov president, predicts 300 seats for the Tories, 230 for Labour and 90 for the Lib Dems. His prediction on the Sunday before the last election was within a seat of the final outcome. A similar prediction is provided by Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher of Plymouth University, based on council by-elections. Their forecast is for the Conservatives …

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