South Belfast has had a turbulent time when it comes to their MLAs. Since 2011, four of the elected MLAs have stepped down and the other two (Anna lo and Michael McGimpsey) have confirmed that they will not contest this election.
I think this is the first time in our devolved history where none of the MLAs elected at the previous election are re-contesting.
This makes the Unionist race all the more interesting as the DUP aim to take two seats. I would imagine Emma Pengelly will run with Christopher Stalford.
The UUP could run Graham Craig or Rodney McCune for the seat, but their vote has continued to fall in this constituency.
Yet, it isn’t all up for the DUP, Ruth Patterson and Bob Stoker will take some votes away, but if Alliance looks competitive for that final seat then, I would imagine they would be comfortable transferring to Stalford.
David McCann holds a PhD in North-South relations from University of Ulster. You can follow him on twitter @dmcbfs