Last Sunday’s Red C poll…

Okay, belatedly. And on a prompt from anonymous on Mark’s thread from last night, here’s a great trend chart last Sunday’s Red C poll in the Sunday Business Post. Two things to note. One, is the consistent fading of Fine Gael over the last three polls. The series of changes is statistically significant, even if each one is not.

And secondly, Sinn Fein appear to have recovered much of their suddenly lost ground last month. So I would treat that as an outlier. From Richard Colwell’s analysis quoted by Pete last time out:

It is difficult to explain this loss without more information, but perhaps it is because the party has been seen canvassing heavily in the election in the North and taken its eye off the ball in the Republic. Alternatively, Sinn Féin may well have suffered in the eyes of voters due to renewed activity by dissident republicans in the North.

Or maybe, it was just a statistical error…

Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty