On a 24% turnout it is hard to extrapolate too much from the Craigavon by election. Add the fact that the DUP chose not to contest this one either and it limits it even further as a weather cock. Although you can hardly blame the winning candidate for bringing in the name of Dromore in to the matter, the fact is the UUP got its base moving again. In Jo-Anne Dobson has a smart young female councillor. Although the TUV did respectably, but it knows it has a problem with candidate selection when two of the constituency association left, not to join another party but to start another association in a neighbouring constituency.
Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty