Greetings From The Land Of Nixon

California is in the tank for Obama. The Field Poll has Obama at a Bradley-proof 22 points over McCain in California. The political news here is the fight against Proposition 8, the attempt to outlaw same-sex unions. We have the usual number of carpetbaggers from the Bible-Belt that pollute our politics whenever we have a juicy proposition but the hottest news so far is the surge of Mormon money during the past weeks trying to pass Proposition 8. So far Field has that proposition going down to defeat by 5 points but they were off by just that much when we invented the Bradley Effect here in 1986. I was just through Oregon last week but I didn’t notice much political activity since we nearly made it through the state before we had to stop to have some guy refuel the car. It’s getting as weird in Oregon as it is in California: It’s legal to kill yourself in Oregon but they won’t let you pump your own gas. Color them in the tank for Obama, though: Rasmussen has Obama ahead there by 12 points.

Utah remains in the stall for McCain. I was through there two weeks ago and there were signs up for county races but nothing national. Noteworthy, though, was the motel managed by the Indian family, complete with caste marks, in eastern Utah, just down from the Rockies. Will seagull stew spiced with curry be on the horizon for the elders? If so, it had better be laced with glowing neon because I ran into the worst case of LA-style smog between Provo and Ogden that I have ever seen.

Nevada and Montana are amazingly in play: It’s as unlikely as MoveOn getting up and leaving. Aside from backsliding for Clinton, both states have been in the tank for the Republican Party since Nixon. Now they are listed as toss-ups. Montana was the more remarkable of the two since I saw twice as many taxidermist signs on the highway as I did McCain/Palin posters. The same holds true for Ron Paul posters. The Blackfeet Rez was plastered with DIY Obama posters. Meanwhile Rasmussen gives McCain four points on Obama but hints that the lead might be obliterated by the Ron Paul vote.

Nevada was even more devoid of McCain paraphernalia. The remarkable part of the state remains how Wayne Newton has been displaced by advertisements for housing developments on that ten mile strip of roadside signs on the western approach to Las Vegas on I-15. Rasmussen has Obama leading McCain in Nevada by four points.

Nothing was noteworthy about Idaho except for a beautiful blanket of snow on the way to Pocatello. Nothing of national interest was evident in the panhandle as well, just the county races were being advertised. They are, like Utah, in the tank for the Republican Party. In fact it’s a no-brainer: Think Helen Chenoweth, first-term congresswoman from Idaho who charged that armed federal agents were landing black helicopters on Idaho ranchers’ property to enforce the Endangered Species Act. The state is the California for militia nutters.

Eastern Washington from Spokane down through that goddamn desert was McCain/Palin free, surprisingly because that area is the Republican stronghold of the state. I only found significant McCain advertising in the northeastern part of the state. Washington, like Oregon, has been in the tank for the Democrats since Reagan left office. Right now Rassmussen has Obama by 11 points.

The interesting race in Washington is the governor’s race, there is hardly anything else on TV. Four years ago the two candidates that are currently running duked it out and the Democrat won by 129 votes on the third recount. The same two are running again and it is really an ugly race, with the only charge left unhurled is that the opponent spent July in the al Qaeda Child-Abuse Seminar in a cave near Torra Bora. Washington also has an assisted suicide measure, very similar to the Oregon law, on the ballot. Maybe I won’t be able to pump my own petrol in Washington either.

In less than seven hours the California polls will close. Instantly by network, cable and satellite we will behold the Obama victory, probably a landslide. And what do we get for our billion bucks?: A brigade of Armani or Versace-clad anchors peering into the camera with great gravitas announcing the demise of the Republican Party. It’s 1964 all over again Sluggiepoos.

And we all know how that ended.

Meanwhile Dubya has the launch codes until January 20. Sleep tight.

  • Big Maggie

    the hottest news so far is the surge of Mormon money during the past weeks trying to pass Proposition 8

    They obviously diverted some dollars from the campaign to baptise our ancestors.

  • wild turkey

    Jim

    If the Mormons win this prop 8, would they be emboldened to go for a prop re-establishing polygamy?

    Seriously thoug, MSNBC is reporting long long lines at polling stations in California. Have just spoken with friends in Sacramento and San Diego and their experience confirms the reports.

    Assuming you are based somewhere on the West Coast, whats your take on things?

    In advance, thanx

    PS I almost ended up teaching in Corvallis Ore…WTF!!!!

  • Dewi

    Blasted adverts on US TV drive you spare – bring back that Russell Brand bloke I say….CNN been promising an Exit poll for an hour….

  • Comrade Stalin

    Jim,

    Fantastic to see you back again.

    I’m really enjoying the high-quality comment from American Slugger readers in general.

  • wild turkey

    Dewi

    Forgot where I read it today but there is a tacit agreement amongst the USA TV networks and main cable players not to run an exit poll until the relevant entire state has finished voting… as some locales are experiencing long,long lines, the results of exit polls may be take quite awhile.

    If you want to bring back dear old Russell, you can always sign his nomination papers for the next welsh assembly election… ho ho ho

    good luck

  • “If the Mormons win this prop 8, would they be emboldened to go for a prop re-establishing polygamy?”

    They do not have to win to float a proposition: They need 445,000 petition signatures and 200 bucks to put it on the ballot. I think it would be a hoot to have Mormons in polygamous same-sex unions. It would be so California.

    “whats your take on things? “

    The Bay Area and SoCal are experiencing heavy voter turnout. The lines locally were long, the LA Times reported that 38% of all registered voters had voted in the first four hours, and the Chronicle predicted that 13.6 million are going to vote in the state. The last general election (2006) attracted 8.9 million.

    In normal times culture wars issues tend to rule for the right in California, especially in the southland with all those megachurches. That’s how Republicans like Deukmejian and Wilson used wedge issues on the ballot to slingshot them into victory in an otherwise Blue State.

    This time, however, there is this messianic slant to the Democrat candidate that will probably maintain the edge the Field Poll saw on the 31st.

    In five hours it will be moot.

  • “Fantastic to see you back again.”

    Great Leader,

    Someone has to keep track of you mad bastards.

    So, who’s the lucky one having tea with Comrade Berea tonight?

  • I knew there was a reason why I loved Samuel L. Jackson (apart from him being a class actor), and I realised what it was when I saw the absolutely genius ad he cut against homo-hating Prop 8. That one will keep me up late, worrying, long after the Obama landslide is confirmed.

    Just 6 minutes till eastern KY and most IN polling stations close. I’m much less nervous than I was at this point in ’00 or ’04.

  • Dewi

    “I’m much less nervous than I was at this point in ‘00 or ‘04. ”

    And we blasted lost……

  • latcheeco

    Cheers Jim,
    As a carpetbagger in the bible belt i,m glad to hear your dogs can now marry your cats and adopt human kids in California :). Interesting house race here in Bama locally voting was brisk but without lines and I think i was the only honkey around here in the tank for Barak.

  • latcheeco

    Obama ahead in Indiana but just a small percent in so far.

  • Comrade Stalin

    So, who’s the lucky one having tea with Comrade Berea tonight?

    Comrade Beria is in the USA running the Obama campaign. I told him if he messed it up, I’d appoint him to run the TVA.

  • After 1% – which 1% and how did it vote in 2004? That’s the pertinent question now.

  • Steuben County Indiana was 65-34% for Bush in ’04, is 57-42 for McCain this time after 68% counted.

  • The first three counties to count a reasonable number of votes in small town Indiana showing 6%, 11% and 11% swings to Obama vs. the Kerry ’04 figures.

  • latcheeco

    Penn Governor talking about a bounce of 650,000 in phily area

  • latcheeco

    Kentucky R
    Vermont D
    No surprises so far

  • “your dogs can now marry your cats and adopt human kids”

    My Maine Coon wants to adopt you.

    You have to bring your own water dish.