In the scramble to get new candidates for the Assembly elections in the new year, David Trimble is stepping down in Upper Bann, leaving veteran representative Sam Gardiner as the party’s one incumbent. Trimble topped the poll by some way in 2003, so they will miss him this time out. Has to be an outside bet for a DUP steal. It could be another space where SF might squeeze out the SDLP too. Although that could depend on whether Brolly’s statement was based on real or just momentarily perceived movement in the Republican base.