Sylvia odds on favourite in North Down

It’s probably clear now that, much like the SDLP, the UUP don’t have many safe seats. Sylvia Hermon’s North Down constituency is not safe in precisely the way Eddie McGrady’s seat in the south of the county is not safe either. If both can galvanise their core vote they should be safe home. Chris Thornton on the overwhelmingly Unionist base of North Down, where Hermon is probably the only Unionist candidate (of either stripe) that can expect substantial backing from the small but significant Catholic population there. She’s the clear favourite with Eastwoods!

Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty