Sylvia odds on favourite in North Down

It’s probably clear now that, much like the SDLP, the UUP don’t have many safe seats. Sylvia Hermon’s North Down constituency is not safe in precisely the way Eddie McGrady’s seat in the south of the county is not safe either. If both can galvanise their core vote they should be safe home. Chris Thornton on the overwhelmingly Unionist base of North Down, where Hermon is probably the only Unionist candidate (of either stripe) that can expect substantial backing from the small but significant Catholic population there. She’s the clear favourite with Eastwoods!