McNarry in the bookies camp?

There’s an interesting quote carried today in the Newsletter from David McNarry (no online version yet), where he seems to somewhat differ from David Trimble’s prediction of UUP gains at the General Election.

The quote reads:
“At first sight, it is not great news because the bookies are usually better at these predictions than the pollsters”, said UUP man David McNarry who has been in close contact with bookmaker Barney Eastwood.

“But the up side is that the bookies are really saying we have one almost definate seat but three remaining constituencies where it is too close to call and we are in with a strong shout of all three”.

While I wouldn’t argue that the bookies are probably better predictors than David Trimble, even if David McNarry’s optimism proves correct he is still predicting that the UUP will lose a seat rather than make any gains.

Whilst we’re on the subject of bookies – it seems that some of the confidence exuded regarding UUP victories hasn’t been backed up by hard cash, well certainly that is the case at Betfair, where (at the time of posting) there has yet to be any money laid on UUP victories.

  • Alan2

    The problem with the UUP at the moment is that they do not know whoo they want to be. If your going to be liberal Unionists then be liberal Unionists and play to that strength and put clear water between the two Unionist parties or even contemplate some sort of merger with Alliance to bolster the centre ground.

  • fair_deal

    “But the up side is that the bookies are really saying we have one almost definate seat but three remaining constituencies where it is too close to call and we are in with a strong shout of all three”

    A fair enough comment by DMcN but how does it sit with predictions by others that the party expected to gain? It also seems to concede East Antrim.

  • yerman

    “one almost definate seat”

    He doesnt (and I suppose in all reality, cant) even admit that they have ONE rock solid safe seat!

  • Traditional Unionist

    don’t let Paisley see you looking at betting websites Clive, you’ll lose your job!

  • Alan

    TU – Hardly. There are quite alot on DUP candidates who Paisley would consider “worldy”. I know it`s hard to keep the two seperate completely but the DUP is a Unionist political party and not everyone is as religiously fundamental as Dr Paisley.

    Here`s the News Letter link

  • peter

    Traditional Unionist, where is the UUP safe seat?. I dont see any safe seats for them. Indeed if things carry on the way they are going they may well face a wipe out.

  • Mehmet

    I would hope to be on “The Devil,s Buttermilk ” on the day the results come in .
    If D.T. loses Upper Bann the corks will be popping