Chris Thornton has put his finger on an important factor, that’s not yet had much coverage. What’s happened to the SDLP’s missing voters? It’s general accepted that there’s a large chunk of Nationalist voters who stopped voting for them, but haven’t gone over to Sinn Fein. Have they joined the Unionist middle class and, as Mark Langhammer memorably once put it, gone off to play golf instead? Or will ghost of the Northern Bank robbery and the McCartney pursuade them to give their old party of choice a punt, if only for one last time?
Mick is founding editor of Slugger. He has written papers on the impacts of the Internet on politics and the wider media and is a regular guest and speaking events across Ireland, the UK and Europe. Twitter: @MickFealty