Sinn Fein vote slips slightly in latest poll

A Millward Brown/IMS poll in the Sunday Independent puts the Sinn Fein vote in the Irish Republic at 8 per cent, down one point since last month.

There has also been a 12 per cent drop (to 37 per cent) in the number of voters who think SF should be included in coalition government.

A majority (51 per cent) now believe Sinn Fein should not be included compared to 39 per cent when the question was last asked in a similar poll in November 2004. However, Gerry Adams’ personal popularity has improved three points after the hammering he took in the last poll.

Is this continuing slippage or is the worse over?

  • Davros

    The small drop isn’t as significant IMO as the 12% drop. The politicians from the parties will pay more attention to the fact that it will be very unpopular move to bring SF into a coalition government.

  • slug9987

    The 1% difference from the last time is statistically insignificant. However the two polls together confirm that SFs upward trend has been stopped.

  • DerryTerry

    If this is the worst damage SF suffers as a result of the onslaught in the media since December last year I think those putting the boot in will have to re-examine their methods.

    More interseting might be some stats on the Meath by election or the Udaras elections, where people actually voted.

  • George

    SF won its first seat in the Údarás na Gaeltachta poll but I haven’t heard the exact vote breakdown.

  • Dessertspoon

    “A majority (51 per cent) now believe Sinn Fein should not be included compared to 39 per cent when the question was last asked in a similar poll in November 2004”

    Politically expedient to say yes they can be on Government in November now it’s better to say NO. That’s all that shows. I don’t think this poll really tells us anything other than those likely to vote SF will still do so. So more stalemate and pointless talks to come after May 5th then. Woo Hoo I can hardly wait (just in case you can’t detect it I am being sarcastic).

  • Liam

    This poll of course comes with its own very obvious health warning, being carried out for the Sindo. Of course one might say that it is a reputable polling company (Millward-Brown) but then the Sindo obviously plays its role in framing the questions for polls that it commissions. The questions posed clearly influence the answers.

    That aside, of course the fact that the Sinn Féin vote rose in both the Meath by-election and that SF had its first ever candidate elected in the Udaras na Gaeltachta elections yesterday are the most accurate polls of all.

    In terms of the make-up of the next dublin government it is clear that the prevailing political context will determine this, that context in 2 years time, just cannot be predicted with any accuracy at this point in time.

    There is little doubt but that Sinn Féin will gain additional Westminster and local council seats in the May elections. What happens then?

    Obviously there will be new negotiations. Clearly it will be time for major decisions to be taken and commitments from all sides must be honoured. There will be an opportunity to achieve the unprecedented breakthroughs that were squandered last December.

    This will take courage and commitment from all sides, but it must be embraced next time. There really is no alternative. Unless we wish to be stuck in Groundhog day or foolishly risk reversing all of the progress that we all have made and enjoyed since the beginning of the peace process.

    There has been too much of the blame game. It is time to get back to the serious business of conflict resolution.

  • wise


  • Ted

    Can’t get too excited about Sinn Fein rating in any polls.

    Graveyard residents tend not to vote in polls.

  • Chris Gaskin

    I would have thought one must have at least a primary 3 stage education to comment on this site but judging by the previous comment it appears not.

  • Ted


    An testimony to the great works of our last Assembly Minister for Education perhaps?

  • Chris Gaskin

    Perhaps you should have said “A testimony” rather than “An Testimony” 😉

  • Davros

    Or maybe not 😉

  • Ted


    I could feign that I was desparately trying to be Oirish ironic, but it’s a fair cop.

    Now that’s not something you hear very often on a Sinn Fein thread!