It looks like the only significant part that Joe Reilly will be playing in the Meath by election is through his transfers. However you play with the percentages, one thing is clear: his core vote has held. But as the only main runner with a high local profile (he first ran for the Dail seat here in 1997) and with a fair wind from voters in other parties, he might have hoped to be in the final run in. Is this the price he’s paid for publicity flowing from the bank raid and the McCartney murder?
With the constituency breaking up from a five seater to two three seaters, it’s unlikely he’ll get another bite of this particular cherry any time soon.