Bush to walk home in front of Kerry…

With no serious democratic competition on the horizon here until next summer’s predicted Westminster elections, Chris Stalford looks to the next parish west, and reckons the Bush candidacy is looking like a shoe-in, particularly in the face of a lack lustre campaign from John Kerry.

By Christopher Stalford

Following on the back of last weeks Republican National Convention it seems as though the character of the US Presidential election has changed. A race that was a dead heat between the two leading candidates has been transformed overnight into George W Bush

  • slackjaw

    The thought of having to pin one’s hopes on John Kerry to win the US Presidential elections is only marginally less depressing than the thought of four more years of Bush.

  • smcgiff

    Don’t rule out the Clinton swing.* When Bill is firing on all cylinders (pardon the pun) he’ll eat away at a few points.

    This may be just wishful thinking!

  • Mick Fealty

    I think Chris is on fairly solid ground. There’s a lot more than a few points in it. Shirley Williams was not exactly sanguine (sound file) in her analysis of his prospects on the Today programme this morning.

  • peteb

    I would tend to agree, Mick, at least on the prospect for the presidential election.

    Chris, though, doesn’t seem so confident. If this article was actually more than bigging up the Republcian Right and its sympathisers here, then he’d have brought that considerable analytical power of his, “This changing of minds has earned him the nickname ‘flip-flop Kerry’ “, to bear on his own favoured candidate.

    I may have my tongue slightly in my cheek, but where’s “the contrast between the two(?) candidates”?

  • Keith M

    I don’t think that Bush has been an especially good President, but given the alternative the bring on “four more years” if only from a parochial viewpoint.

  • maca

    There’s some pretty interesting polls at the following URL concerning the presidential race, worth having a look (imho):

    http://www.whatthenationthinks.com/UK/

  • Mark McGregor

    ‘With no serious democratic competition on the horizon here until next summer’s predicted Westminster elections,’

    Don’t locals count as serious democratic competition? (May)

  • Mick Fealty

    Mark – you got me!

  • James

    I live in a country where 20% of the electorate still believes that Saddam gassed us on the way to Baghdad. Ten years ago one in six believed that the world would end by the end of the century by Divine Intervention.

    The moral of the story, Sluggiepoos, is that when around one in five is dumber than dirt, just about anything can happen, especially when 1% could swing the election.

    And unless Bush takes bin Laden out of the freezer, they are swinging.

    Bush’s post convention bounce is rapidly fading. The 11 point lead that Time touted has faded from the 4 point edge that Zogby/Fox gave him last week to the dead even results from the Investor’s Business News today.

    Speaking Apocalyptically, there is a reason behind all the winds gathering in Florida this year. It’s just a damned shame that it’s too late in the season for one named Chad.

  • Young Irelander

    What exactly has Kerry done wrong during his campaign or is it a case of Bush running a very good one?

  • James

    “What exactly has Kerry done wrong during his campaign”

    He hasn’t been Clinton.

  • David Vance

    Chris is so wrong as we prove over on ATW.

    The charming Kerry, with his winning smile, easy manner and nuanced approach to politics, will surely prevail. The Washington Post poll shows Kerry not too far behind in his public popularity rating than Michael Dukakis and Jesse Jackson and on a magnificent par with Martha Stewart.

    So do not despair – we’re rooting for Kerry. (By the way, did you know he’s been in ‘Nam and took the wounds to prove it?)

    ps James…when you say he “hasn’t been Clinton” do you mean he hasn’t been a lying cheating non-inhaling impeached political disgrace? Yeah. you’re so right – getting to the Clinton standard of malignancy is beyond Kerry – I’m sure Theresa sees to that.

  • James

    “ps James…when you say he “hasn’t been Clinton” do you mean he hasn’t been a lying cheating non-inhaling impeached political disgrace? Yeah. you’re so right – getting to the Clinton standard of malignancy is beyond Kerry – I’m sure Theresa sees to that. “

    More cunning insight from the political mastermind that got trounced 2:1 by the shinners in that Black Fenian Den of Mid Ulster.

  • Davros

    Eh ?

  • murphii4word

    Slugger

    I would like to reply point by point to Mr. Stalford’s article.

    First, his denigration of Kerry based on class is an affront. Unlike Britain, the U.S. does not require its leaders be “upper class”. And his implication that Kerry ‘hustled his women’ for money is laughable and also a cheap shot.

    Second, his use of the term “disquiet” when referring to Iraq shows his lack of understanding of what is occurring in the U.S. Four hundred thousand people marched on the Republican Convention in protest to the war.

    Third, his reference to a bi-partisan education bill is equally uninformed. Yes, both parties passed an education bill but the President never funded it. This led to chaos in the schools because the bill required the States to meet certain criteria but with out the funds to perform, the project has failed.

    Fourth, Mr. Stalford refers to “economic sluggishness”. If the loss of three million manufacturing jobs is sluggishness then I would hate to see a real recession. Moreover, these ‘new’ jobs pay a third of those lost and usually come without benefits. Forty five million Americans are without health care, something friends of mine in the UK find astonishing.

    Finally, Mr Bush may be quite ill. There are rumors he has presenile dementia, a disabling affliction.

    Bob Murphy
    New Jersey

  • James

    “Eh?”

    I use Mid Ulster a geographical abstraction, not the political
    constituency.

  • Davros

    James, I didn’t realise that David had stood for election in that neck of the woods. But fair play to him for having the courage of his convictions.

  • Davros

    Quote :
    Forty five million Americans are without health care, something friends of mine in the UK find astonishing.

    Possibly you can understand the reluctance of many in NI to join a similar system in the ROI
    Bob ?

  • Gerry O’Sullivan

    “The moral of the story, Sluggiepoos, is that when around one in five is dumber than dirt, just about anything can happen, especially when 1% could swing the election.”

    I can imagine Karl Rove’s slogan on the wall in Republican HQ: “IT’S THE STUPID, STUPID!”

  • Fraggle

    Davros, we’ve had the health system argument before. The cost of basic health insurance in the ROI is a lot lower than NI in NI and the government will contribute to prescription costs for anyone. The NHS isn’t perfect by any stretch and there are aspects of the health system in the south which I prefer. The health system is quite different in Ireland than the USA and a lot cheaper. Maybe not as good at the high end but better for the poor anyway.

  • James

    “But fair play to him for having the courage of his convictions.”

    You’re a saint.

    Just don’t put him in charge of anything more than the TV remote while I’m on the island.

    Deal?

  • Davros

    James …I’ll not sleep tonight because of Maca ( Think DANA Maca )posting on his site that the US uses Windows 2000 for it’s nukes!

    Fraggle, I dare say we’ll have it again 🙂
    It may or may not be justified, but it is a factor that carries some weight.

  • maca

    “I’ll not sleep tonight because of Maca posting on his site that the US uses Windows 2000 for it’s nukes!”

    You’ll have to read that again Davros, it’s the UK unfortunatly.
    BAE Systems made the decision 3 years ago to switch to Windows, their joint venture AMS which does the Combat management systems also had to change.

    I can just see their PC’s:

    “I’m sorry, a system error has occurred and 15 nuclear missiles have been launched. Press Ctrl + Alt + Del to reboot your system.”

  • David Vance

    James,

    With your readty wit and verbal repartee I’m amazed you weren’t helping Kerry?