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Monday, April 30, 2007
Mamam Poulet notes the launch of the Gay Vote website, but complains it is almost devoid of content, and provides some content of her own. Mairtin reckons Sinn Fein’s stated target of ten seats has to be an underestimate. Green Ink asks, when is a blog not a blog? Answer when Rock the Vote give it over to the party leaders. Sarah Carey, a scion of Fine Gael on poster wars. Harry McGee, blogging from Lisbon with fat fingers on a tiny phone. Politics.ie notes Bertie taking a punt on himself. Last word to Copernicus:
It is not the job of “politicians” (not a monolithic gang of punters believe it or not) to make politics interesting, although they could have the decency to be a little less transparent about avoiding the nurturing of a culture of citizenship. Not even politicians like politics; they like the cut and thrust of interacting with and outmaneouvering other political actors and the pats on the back from their pimps in whatever is the industry or special interest of the moment.
Even if it were their job, they’re not going to do it, not even if you fold your arms and tap your foot impatiently while looking really quite cross indeed. So there’s no point in adopting that particular course of action.
If younger people want an affordable housing market, they should be a visible presence at the polls. If an affordable housing market hasn’t been established, it means young people haven’t voted in sufficient numbers to require politicians to address their demands ahead of the competing demands of those who have their ear. They’ve no one to blame for that but themselves ultimately.
Adds: Sharon’s advice - don’t rock the vote, spoil it!
Wrap up...
Mick Fealty @ 07:55 PM
Scottish independence may not be a likely outcome of this election, not least since, as Fair Deal has noted, the Scottish Nats seem to be soft pedalling that option this time out so as not to frighten the Scotland’s majority unionist horses. But Mark Devenport asks: what if Scotland were to leave the Union? Where would that leave Northern Ireland?
Mick Fealty @ 07:39 PM
With several layers of elections in Britain this Thursday, Mike Smithson looks at where the punter should be putting their money. They have the odds on the next government on the Republic with Paddy Power and Betfair. As a footnote: Mike’s readers reckon Sarko’s a shoo in for the French Presidency…
Mick Fealty @ 06:40 PM
Willie Hay, DUP MLA for Foyle, is expected to be appointed the new speaker of the Assembly with Sinn Fein’s Francie Molloy to be a principal deputy speaker.
Fair Deal @ 05:41 PM
Mick had noted the prospect of Bertie Ahern addressing both Houses of Parliament.. in what is now to be the week before the Irish General Election. But some of the political parties contesting that election are not enthusiatic about it, for obvious enough reasons. Interestingly the BBC political editor, Mark Devenport seems to be suggesting that the event might be postponed.
Pete Baker @ 04:24 PM
Over at The Guardian there’s a CiF post which is inviting suggestions as to what is the greatest human innovation? It’s been sparked by Spiked-online’s rolling discussion of the same - as detailed in this article. Personally I’m taken by the suggestion, from biologist Lewis Wolpert, of the microscope, but since Robert Hooke was one of Those [Royal Society] Guys that won’t be much of a surprise. My own suggestion is the telescope - as utilised by, but not invented by, Galileo Galilei.. amongst others.. Which shouldn’t be a surprise either. Although I know someone has a compelling argument for electricity.
Pete Baker @ 01:22 PM
We’ll find out later in the week whether or not Alan Murray’s prediction is correct - “NIO minister David Hanson is expected to announce employment legislation changes on Wednesday which will prevent employers from lawfully refusing to consider convicted paramilitaries for jobs on security grounds” - although it doesn’t sound as if those criminal records would actually be wiped.. just ignored. And whilst Alan Murray links it directly to other events, and David Hanson has today been making familiar noises about that issue, it’s worth recalling the Secretary of State for Wales etc’s previous comments on the past.
From the Sunday Life article
NIO minister David Hanson is expected to announce employment legislation changes on Wednesday which will prevent employers from lawfully refusing to consider convicted paramilitaries for jobs on security grounds.
It is expected the changes will apply to the public and private sectors - but not be the security sector.
Hanson’s move is designed to assist loyalist paramilitaries in particular, part of a package of sweeteners from the Government to get terrorists to abandon criminality.
Hanson’s announcement will come just days before the UVF is expected to announce its intention to cease all paramilitary activities.
Wrap up...
Pete Baker @ 12:02 PM
The abandonment of a recruitment exercise for the NIHRC Chief Commissioner and a new process that led to the appointment of Monica McWilliams is to be scrutinised by an Industrial Tribunal. John Cushnahan, the former Alliance Party leader and Fine Gael MEP, was the best candidate in the abandoned process and he has alleged discrimination in the appointment.
Fair Deal @ 10:59 AM
The question of the media and politics is a vexed one. Too often the debate is closed down in ad hominem badinage before it gets properly going. Over at Comment is Free today, amongst other things, I have argued that there should be proper separation between the two. Politicians should be allowed govern, and the media be allowed report. Blogs, however, throw another layer of complexity into the mix.
The principle Slugger is built on is that of the individual’s right to call the world as they see it - whether as bloggers or commenters. All too often thought that right is corrupted of obscured by gross incivility. Civility, on the other hand, as Kennedy once noted, is not a sign of weakness. Indeed, it is an essential precondition to allow the rest of us examine the perspicacity (or otherwise) of an individual’s view. But too often contempt blocks the right, one for an individual blogger to speak, and two, to have his work critically examined.
I spoke on blogs and democracy recently in response to George Osbourne’s advocacy of a more open relationship between politicians and the people at the RSA in London. But the most impressive speaker wrapped up the importance of the individual voice thusly:
“Back to democracy - as Churchill pointed out, it is the least bad system of government we know, perhaps the internet holds a key to an organisation that establishes the balance between the individual, the society and its institutions. This is essential as for me the knowledge, creativity, innovation, morality and all things social start with the individual.”
More over at Comment is Free…
Wrap up...
Mick Fealty @ 10:09 AM
Tom Geoghegan examines the impact of gay rights campaigning in the context of the introduction of the Equality Act in England and Wales. However the article raises a question applicable to all equality and rights campaigning, when is the job done? If strong legislation is in place with regulatory bodies to enforce is it time to think success has been achieved? Time to shift from campaigning to monitoring? Or new sources of complaint to be found and raised?
Fair Deal @ 09:44 AM
If the reported comments by Bernadette McAliskey and Gary Mitchell in the Irish Times [subs req], from the 22nd Cúirt Literature Festival at the weekend, are anything to go by they’ll likely empathise with the previously noted views of Peter Shirlow.. the Guardian’s Peter Preston.. and Davy Adams for that matter.. but probably not so much with the well-behaved witnesses, whether they ask ‘stupid’ questions or not. Both Ms McAliskey and Mr Mitchell were highly critical of the “overwhelming” power of the media. In Mr Mitchell’s view, there was a “real truth” and an “agreed truth”, and when the “agreed truth becomes accepted, the real truth becomes a lie”.
From the Irish Times
Peace has been bought in Northern Ireland by “perjury, fraud, corruption, cheating and lying”, according to socialist and community activist Bernadette McAliskey.
In what “sane, civilised community” would anyone be suggesting that the “three male groupings” involved in several decades of conflict would “now make up a police force,” Ms McAliskey told the Cúirt Forum in Galway.
Ms McAliskey, north Belfast playwright Gary Mitchell and Croatian writer Dubravka Ugresic were speaking in the Town Hall Theatre at the weekend on the theme of “outsider/insider”. The forum, presented by Cúirt International Festival of Literature in association with The Irish Times, was chaired by Lelia Doolan, currently chair of the Solas arthouse cinema project in Galway.
Ms McAliskey, who was the youngest person to be elected to the British parliament when she was 21 in 1969, described how she and her husband Michael had decided not to move house after they survived an assassination attempt at their home in Dungannon, Co Tyrone, in 1981.
“Now I’d walk away from the North in the morning and clean the dust off my feet,” she said.
Award-winning playwright Gary Mitchell - forced to leave north Belfast along with his extended family because of paramilitary anger over his portrayal of the loyalist community - said he would like to support a “true police force where people solved crimes”.
.....
Both Ms McAliskey and Mr Mitchell were highly critical of the “overwhelming” power of the media. In Mr Mitchell’s view, there was a “real truth” and an “agreed truth”, and when the “agreed truth becomes accepted, the real truth becomes a lie”.
The media was reporting the “agreed truth”, and the real truth “doesn’t get a look in”, he argued.
Wrap up...
Pete Baker @ 09:25 AM
Looks like Sinn Fein is talking to the Tribune again. Suzanne Breen interviews Martin McGuinness, who talks about his upcoming gig with Ian Paisley at Stormont next week.
Mick Fealty @ 09:16 AM
There’s a number of questions hanging nastily open as the Republic begins it’s electioneering in earnest (a lot faster out of the gates than our little practice run a month or two ago - ed). One, is the question of what Judge Alan Mahon will do this morning about the Quarryville Two section of its enquiry, said to involve further questions about the taoiseach’s personal finances. But as Darragh O’Brien notes, the question of the validity of the electoral boundaries could theoretically store up a lot of problems for whoever wins the election after the fact. Though he clearly reckons it is unlikely that anyone on the High Court or Supreme Court benches will have the temerity to order a re-run.
Mick Fealty @ 06:28 AM
The way thing stand at the moment it looks like the Sego/Sarko stand off is only likely to finish one way, a victory for the hyperactive, ambitious, workaholic Nicolas Sarkozy over the Socialist Party’s hopeful Ségolène Royal (in French). French Election 2007 reports on the latest TNS-Sofres poll:
According to the poll, 8% of voters are still deciding between the two candidates, and another 7% are deciding whether or not to abstain. The poll also reaffirms the rapid shift of Bayrou supporters from Sarkozy to Royal. Before last weekend’s vote a majority of Bayrou voters were planning on voting Sarkozy in the runoff, but now 51% of the French believe that a Bayrou-Royal alliance would be natural, against only 33% for the same with Sarkozy. To reinforce this point, 52% of voters believe that Royal’s victory would most likely allow take into account Bayrou’s ideas; only 27% believe a Sarkozy victory would do the same.
But if this is bad news for Sarkozy at the center, he still has support in one of the most crucial arenas. 64% of the French believe Sarkozy will bring “many or quite some changes”, with Royal lagging at a dismal 38%. Will voters vote for change over the center? At this point, it appears so.
But perhaps the most fascinating aspect of this potential revolution in French political life is the way it is being consumed elsewhere. Not least in Blairite Britain, where, according to Martin Kettle, a significant chunk of the left of centre are privately backing right of centre Sarkozy and his promise of reforms:
From Downing Street Sarkozy is seen as everything that Jacques Chirac is not. A Sarkozy victory, they believe there, would mean an end to Chirac’s anti-Americanism, a short practical treaty in place of the EU constitution, and the prospect of greater flexibility on trade, regulation and the European budget. So dazzling are these prizes after the frustrations of the past that the major uncongenial aspects of a Sarkozy win - his hostility to Turkey, his protectionism and his support for the CAP - are simply ignored.
Sarkozy’s most prominent rise to fame was for remarks made during the riots in certain Parisian suburbs following the deaths of two young Muslim men of African descent. It did not endear him to many on the left. But Kettle, taking a straw poll in Westminster finds untrouble consensus on the right, but conflicted emotions on the left:
Only the Conservatives have no mixed feelings; they are all for Sarkozy. Among Labour and Liberal Democrat MPs the reaction is far more conflicted. In many cases they answered that the heart said Ségo but the head said Sarko. A Labour cabinet minister was one of the few unambiguous Royal backers. A Lib Dem pro-European was among the most trenchant supporters of Sarkozy.
Gordon Brown is ambiguous on this question too. He knows Sarkozy from their days as fellow finance ministers. The Browns and Sarkozys have dined à quatre. Most importantly of all, Brown is comfortable with Sarkozy’s deregulatory economic instincts and with his openness to America. And yet Brown hesitates. When Sarkozy launched his election campaign in London, Blair met him while Brown made his excuses. Brown has put out feelers towards the Royal camp too, which Blair has not. But which side is Brown really on?
In truth, Kettle believes, Brown is going to be stuck with a Foreign Policy hand he can do little with, without the help and cooperation of others:
Those who expect Brown to strike out on a markedly more progressive foreign policy are therefore likely to be disappointed on matters of substance. But that is not Brown’s fault. It is the hand that he is fated to play by history and politics. Brown can say he wants to bring peace to the Middle East, end suffering in Darfur or reduce the nuclear build-up. But he can only do that in alliance with others, and maybe not even then. He will deal with Sarkozy or Royal because he has to, not because he wants to.
Wrap up...
Mick Fealty @ 05:48 AM
Many moons ago, I was asked to write an analysis piece for UPI, the press agency behind this (now hastily reworded) article on the constitutional niceties of the Republic’s election law. The original words are preserved for posterity by this poster on Politics.ie:
BELFAST, Northern Ireland—The President of Northern Ireland, Mary McAleese dissolved parliament Sunday as Prime Minister Bertie Ahern announced an election next month. The move came after Ahern met with British Prime Minister Tony Blair in London, Sky News reported. However, in a joint statement issued in London, Ahern and Blair said the proposed May 24th vote could be called off if a powersharing agreement wasn’t reached by Ahern’s FF party and the right of center PDs in the 166-seat parliament known as the Dail. “If at any point it became clear that parties were unwilling to fulfill their commitments…and support for policing, it would be unreasonable to expect the people of NI to continue with an election to an assembly which would not exist,” the statement said. Ahern is seeking a third term in office, and a report said the race is expected to be close.
Ahem… Too much TV watching perhaps?
Wrap up...
Mick Fealty @ 05:41 AM
Sunday, April 29, 2007
Alex Salmond has suggested that Scotland going independent is not a one way street but reversible. In what is seen as an attempt to ease concerns about the SNP ahead of the Scottish elections he has suggested that a vote for independence could be overturned by a later referendum.
Fair Deal @ 04:49 PM
Elsewhere on Slugger today and yesterday, there has been some speculation as to whether we have reached the end of Northern Irish history/Slugger O’Toole (even Fukuyama doesn’t believe it literally comes to an end). Jane Jenny, who writes South Belfast Diary believes our politics will not stop, but we may be in for some unpredictable changes.
I suspect those who talk about the ‘normalisation’ of NI politics mean one of two things by it (i) politics like England – in particular, the ability to vote for the British Labour Party (ii) the end of sectarian, or should I say nationalist, politics. But let’s think about the use of the word ‘normal’ in this context. The only people who have no problem with the term are statisticians and religious fanatics. The rest of us realise that normality is a very elastic concept. On the one hand, normal politics in NI is what we’ve got at the moment: it’s normal for us, and it has evolved in the way it has in response to local conditions. On the other hand, if party political options do change in the next five years or so, there’s no particular reason to assume that the new pattern will be the same as anywhere else, because our society isn’t. As for the departure of sectarian/ nationalist politics, dream on. Both Irish and UK nationalism will continue to be part of NI’s political landscape for a long time to come. The questions are: how big a part and which other political ideologies will be competing.
Wrap up...
Mick Fealty @ 11:14 AM
We’ve got up out election sidebar fairly sharpish this time. It’s not comprehensive, but it should give readers an easy short cut to some best online comment on the Republic’s election. We retain our focus on things northern, but we hope to bring you a fair amount of the themes affecting all the parties in the south over the next three weeks or so, as well as our own busy schedule north of the border. If you hear of/know of/write other good blogs or online resources, just .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) along with the url!!
Mick Fealty @ 11:09 AM
In the Sunday Life, Alan Murray has the latest developments in the attempts to rebrand the UDA and the disagreement between Tommy Kirkham, an elected independent councillor who supported the ‘not-so-good’ South East Antrim UDA’s Beyond Conflict £8miilion plan - which didn’t get the NIO’s approval - and Frankie Gallagher, an unelected representative of the UPRG, who supports the ‘good’ UDA’s plan, costing £1.2million - which did get the NIO’s approval.
From the Sunday Life
Kirkham said that for nine months he had been vilified and told that he and others in the area had no support.
He said attempts had been made using the media to stain the characters of many loyalists in South East Antrim by labelling them as gangsters, extortionists and drug dealers who controlled property portfolios and ran brothels.
“There is criminality within all communities, but in South East Antrim there is no place for loyalist criminals, only loyalists. The criminals must be dealt with by the PSNI.
“We said in the past to Sir Hugh Orde, if you pursue loyalists for being loyalists then we will protest at the very highest level, but if you pursue loyalists for criminality then you have our full support,” he said.
Kirkham said that Protestant areas across Northern Ireland had been neglected by the Government.
But senior UPRG representative, Frankie Gallagher, hit out at his former colleague’s claims.
Added Mr Gallagher: “If these people think they can sit in splendid isolation and ignore or fail to show leadership in dealing with criminality by merely passing the responsibility on to the police, they are out of touch with reality.
“An example of this is when the Shoukris had nowhere to go. It was Tommy Kirkham who gave them sanctuary and now the same gang around these people are robbing Larne. Our reports on Tommy Kirkham’s oration, which was supposed to be a memorial service for a fallen comrade, was that it was politicised and disgraceful.
“A call has gone out to the good members of south east Antrim from the UDA. Kirkham or anyone else will not threaten these men.
“The view of the organisation of which this man is no longer a member is that we cannot allow paramilitary structures to be left for the use of gangsters and criminals.”
The Shoukri case is interesting for many reasons.. not least that during his numerous bail hearings the court was told that he was under threat from the ‘good’ “mainstream UDA”
There’s an additional report at the Sunday Life link [scroll down], in which Tommy Kirkham claims that police have warned him that he is under threat from “a paramilitary organisation”. And that the IMC will have an additional section in its report next time.
Kirkham was one of two men the Inner Council said it had “expelled” from the UDA last month, but the councillor says he was not a member of an illegal organisation.
Last week he led a delegation of representatives from eight areas in South East Antrim who told the IMC’s full panel that they wanted help to bring about an end to all paramilitary activities in their area.
The group, which supports the Beyond Conflict initiative to dismantle paramilitary structures, said it understood the UDA in South East Antrim was prepared to consider meeting General John de Chastelain to discuss the possible decommissioning of weapons.
It is believed the group’s approach to the IMC angered the UDA’s Inner Council, which is led by South Belfast Brigadier Jackie McDonald, and which wants to be the sole representative of the entire UDA structure. It successfully removed the previous leadership of the UDA’s North Belfast Brigade, once controlled by Andre Shoukri, and planned to remove the leadership of the organisation in South East Antrim and install a new figurehead.
But so far this has been resisted in the area and the UDA remains under the control of the leaders who approved the meeting with the IMC.
The move means that when the next IMC Report is written, there will be a separate chapter created to refer to the UDA in South East Antrim as a separate entity, a development likely to further enrage the Inner Council faction.
That would be this Jackie McDonald, btw..
And here are Tommy Kirkham and Frankie Gallagher together in happier times 2003.. when the BBC noted - “The UDA leadership is publicly known but the organisation says it intends to become “faceless”.”
As for the post title.. if only..
Wrap up...
Pete Baker @ 10:15 AM
Unsurprisingly, Catriona Ruane has expressed her support for the expansion of the Irish-medium education sector in Northern Ireland. Her comments come ahead of her attendace at a fundraising event in Downpatrick for the local Irish nursery school. Among the items for sale are a Bobby Sands biography signed by the survivng hunger strikers, a copy of the Belfast Agreement signed by John Hume and a two bottles of whiskey - one to commemorate Mary McAleese’s election as RoI president and the other to commemorate John Hume’s receipt of the Nobel prize.
Fair Deal @ 09:59 AM
The Irish Times confirms the speculation - “The Taoiseach, Bertie Ahern, has set Thursday May 24th as the date for the general election.” He went to Áras an Uachtaráin this morning to seek the dissolution of the 29th dail from the President Mary McAleese. The President then left the Aras for a week-long trip to the US.
Adds Before leaving, President Mary McAleese had just enough time to update the official website.
Pete Baker @ 08:07 AM
Given Slugger’s predominantly (but not entirely) Northern Irish perspective, it is natural that our coverage is likely to focus on the most significant northern player in the southern elections, Sinn Fein. If you want decent flavour of what it’s doing on the ground, Ben, at Irish Election, has an excellent analysis on its campaign in Wexford.
Sinn Féin is gaining votes because, like Sunderland under Keane, it works bloody hard for them. It establishes branches and creates political activists. It campaigns, it gets things done – quite simply, it is doing all the things a political party should do if it wants to attain power. For all intents and purposes, Gorey is a new town these days, with thousands of new voters. Labour doesn’t really canvass there, nor does it appear interested in doing so. Wexford County, it seems, is a one labour town. Sinn Féin, on the other hand, is out there every night getting people not only to vote for them, but to join up as well. And Sinn Fein has been doing that across the island for at least twenty years, building up its party organisation.
Wrap up...
Mick Fealty @ 04:48 AM
After some toing and froing on Politics.ie, it sounds like Bertie Ahern is going to call a general election for 24th May later today. We await official confirmation, that Bertie is going to Mary McAleese to ask her to dissolve the 29th Dail. Now might be a good time to remind people that the Irish Elections Flickr Group is still open for photos of the southern elections too…
Mick Fealty @ 03:26 AM
Saturday, April 28, 2007
After a lengthy delay for rain, the final of the Cricket World Cup between Australia and Sri Lanka has just gotten underway and it will be a truncated 38 overs each. As the BBC blog suggests, most neutrals will be hoping that Sri Lanka can bring Australia’s unbeaten run of 28 World Cup games to an end even if it is Glenn McGrath’s last tournament. Usual options for coverage, overbyover, scorecard and live commentary. Australia won the toss and decided to bat first. Australia set a daunting total of 281-4 from 38 overs. Gilchrist with 149 off 104 balls. Another rain delay. Sri Lanka will now have 36 overs.. and chaos reigns.. New target for Sri Lanka 269 Depressingly after the 33rd over, with Sri Lanka 206-7, bad light stops play. They restart, bizarrely, Sri Lanka make 215-8. Australia win by 53 runs
Pete Baker @ 02:37 PM
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