Slugger O'Toole

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Book Review: Battle for Britain: Scotland and the Independence Referendum

Thu 12 December 2013, 1:01pm

The Battle for Britain: Scotland and the Independence Referendum. By David Torrance. London: Biteback Books 2013. pp.xiv + 370. Paperback.

The nature of the policies advocated by those seeking a ‘Yes’ vote in the September 2014 referendum on whether Scotland should depart the 306-year union dominate this timely and often insightful book. Perhaps its main strength is that it conveys the cerebral side of the Scottish National Party (SNP) whose electoral victories in 2007 and 2011 enabled the Scottish Question to displace the much older Irish one in importance.

The author, is a prolific journalist who combines a restrained Tory Unionist outlook with liberal views on most social questions. He overlooks the Scottish Parliament at Holyrood in Edinburgh and it is revealing that few of the SNP’s 65 MSP get a mention. Instead, it is the perspective of SNP policy strategists which often emerges.

Stephen Noon, the Yes campaign’s chief strategist believes, ‘cooperative independence’ should be the aim. He previously was one of the chief advisers of the former head of the English Catholic church, Cardinal Murphy O’Connor. Upon his return to Scotland he inserted a Jesuitical subtlety to the SNP’s profile previously often hard to detect.

David Torrance claims to identify a strong pragmatic streak in the SNP with key players reconciled to the limitations of political sovereignty. His book begins with the seeming triumph of reason and decorum in relations between the union state and its most assertive constituent part. With the Edinburgh Agreement of October 2012, the UK government transferred the right to hold a referendum on independence to the Scottish government headed by Alex Salmond.

It could set the date of the referendum, extend the franchise to those aged between 16 and 18, and decide the wording of the question.

Torrance quotes a Salmond speech, given in mid-2013, in which he depicted himself as a reforming unionist, wishing to end the political union but keen to maintain other unions Scotland was involved in. He takes this seriously rather than viewing it as sleight of hand from a Machiavellian leader keen to sweep wary Scots into the Yes camp.

He is less impressed by the SNP’s economic and social ideas. Scandinavian-style social services paid for by US levels of taxation are promised by the SNP but are viewed as electoral alchemy. To the journalist Iain MacWhirter, a recent convert to independence, they amount to Celtic neo-liberalism’.

Torrance notes that Michael Russell, now education minister, even proposed a programme of tax cuts matched by reductions in public spending in a 2006 book. He now repudiates such economic thinking but who is to say it won’t underpin state policy upon the realisation of full sovereignty when romanticism needs to be tempered by hardheaded policies.

The Influence of the pre-2008 Irish model for national renewal – growth linked to tax cuts – is easy to detect in the SNP’s breezy economic approach. Salmond looked to what he termed the ‘arc of prosperity’ of North-West Europe, a term that was dropped from his vocabulary after Ireland and Iceland over-spent and de-regulated with disastrous results. The current preference is for using Scandinavia as a model. Hopes and dreams can be invested in what Angus Robertson MP terms ‘the High North’.

When Salmond invoked Ireland, his selective memory sometimes led to difficulties. In 2012 when he said: ‘the people of Ireland’ would know that ‘bullying and hectoring the Scottish people from London ain’t going to work’ . Seamus Mallon was quick to point out that Scots had been ‘part of the bullying that took place in Ireland…even as recently as fifteen years ago ‘ as the Troubles drew to a close.

It is interesting that no influential Irish voices on either side of the border extol Scottish independence. Paul Gillespie of the Irish Times reckons that ‘a self-interested Ireland… would want the UK to stay part of the EU, London to continue subsidising Northern Ireland, and view ‘an independent Scotland as a potential competitor for investment more than a Celtic soul-sister’.

No deep-seated sense of grievance exists in Scotland over historic wrongs or any current injustices, at least on the scale which created a collective disposition to go it alone in Ireland a century ago. There is no palpable excitement among any bloc of Scottish voters for dissolving the union. The SNP in a government paper claimed that ‘significant constitutional changes [could] happen in months rather than years’. But it is hard to deny that years would be needed to settle hundreds of issues arising from three centuries of integration and that little time would be available for creative policies laying the social and economic foundations of the new nation.

Scots want more autonomy, principally in the shape of tax powers and control of welfare, but it is unclear how ardently these objectives are desired. The late Stephen Maxwell, one of the most perceptive nationalist thinkers, concluded that ‘no pent-up demand for radical social and economic change [was] waiting to be released by independence’. Scots are viewed as more social democratic than citizens elsewhere in the UK and the radical left probably has a viable future. But polls show no major variation from the rest of the UK in attitudes to means-testing, equality and re-distribution’.

Different stratagems have been used to entice Scots on board the nationalist train. A social union involving keeping the BBC, the pound and avoiding border controls is seen as outlasting the conventional political union. Rights to various social entitlements are to be written into the future Scottish constitution. These are ploys meant to get a majority of Scots to sign up to the SNP’s core project and not merely be content to see Alex Salmond ably defend Scotland’s corner in dealings with Westminster.
Lacking are any distinctive policies on key social issues that would suggest that an eye-catching architecture is being constructed for an independent country. ‘Most SNP policies are tactical compromises…’ , the journalist Paul Hutcheon is quoted as saying.

One alternative way for the SNP to assert a collective will is to use shock and awe: ‘the state may not yet be ours but Scots deserve to take our views on board because we’ll be in charge for a very long time’.

The autocratic features of SNP rule are dealt with lightly, if at all. This book appeared too late to mention the crude attempt by Shona Robison, one of Salmond’s ministers to muzzle the prominent historian Professor Chris Whatley after he appeared at a pro-UK ‘Better Together’ event. She quickly contacted his boss at Dundee University, demanding an early meeting, perhaps wrongly assuming that because Whatley was involved in a state-funded project, he could be easily gagged.

I suspect Torrance would have viewed this as poor judgment rather than anything more sinister. The politicisation of the civil service, accelerating centralization of the state and what sometimes appears to be an attempt to turn the third sector into a conveyor-belt for SNP policies, are overlooked in this book.

The ardour of a great many SNP activists is impressive but sometimes also unsettling. Evidence is provided to show that most are existential nationalists who want independence for its own sake. Sometimes, they find it hard to conceal their frustrations with Scots who recoil from such fervour, especially due to personal economic insecurities. Both the activists and the leadership have a powerful sense of their own moral virtue so that, in no time at all, people who forcefully challenge their ideas or policies can very easily be branded as wicked or unhinged.

Perhaps this chippiness stems in part from the party’s lack of success in creating a new patriotic narrative. Promise of a stirring précis to the recent Independence White Paper, to be written by some of the country’s foremost intellectuals, never materialised. Veteran nationalists intellectuals like Alasdair Gray can sometimes prove to be a hindrance when they lash out at English settlers and colonists, allegedly muscling in on Scotland.

The SNP as a political movement is virtually ignored in this book. Instead, the dual leadership of Alex Salmond with his self-assurance and verbal dexterity and the coolness under pressure of his No 2, Nicola Sturgeon, are emphasised. Salmond is a good tactician but an uncertain longer-term strategist. His ‘automatic’ EU membership for Scotland claim was seen as a grievous blunder by one SNP insider , especially when the EU Commission chief Barroso made it plain that a fresh relationship between Scotland and the EU would have to be negotiated.

Salmond insisted for much longer that Scotland would keep the pound and just after this book appeared, claimed that a Yes vote would oblige London to preserve a currency union. The fact that many of the terms and conditions concerning Scottish borrowing, spending and taxation levels would continue to be shaped by London did not appear to deter him. He believed that the ‘essence’ of economic independence was to control taxes while one of his advisers, John Kay believed that ‘the choice of currency would be the most important economic decision’ for an independent Scotland. Radical economists Jim and Margaret Cuthbert agreed with Kay. They insist that ceding control over monetary policy would result in Scotland being ‘delivered primarily in the interests of the south-east-of-England’.

Towards the end of the book, two chapters on what Scotland looks like if the 2014 vote is Yes or else No, appear. They overall, stress continuity rather than upheaval. Little changes in essence. No mention of the street-name changes, statue-building, creation of multiple embassies designed to restore Scottish dignity after the 300 twilight years of union which, to my reckoning, are sure to be on the cards especially given the disinclination to opt for more structural economic and social change.

Torrance predicts that the confident and polished Humza Yousuf MSP, who cut his political teeth in the Scottish Islamic Foundation will replace Salmond as party leader . This is hardly a radical departure given the distinct possibility of politicians of South Asian background like Chuka Umanna becoming leader of the Labour Party or indeed Sadig Khan replacing Boris as mayor of London.

Torrance depicts independence, if it comes, as evolution rather than rupture and his dedicates his book to ‘polite advocates’ of either separation or union. But if he had turned his attention to Salmond’s party, he might have had less cause to be so sanguine. Except during election campaigns, it lacks any noticeable inner life.

The absence of a cerebral nationalist movement that has carefully planned for the future means that opportunists and ideologues are likely to tussle to secure ownership of the post-British country. Irish style post-1921 convulsions are unlikely but so is a anti-climactic separation such as that of 1905 between Sweden and Norway.

Perhaps another book ought to be in the offing that looks at the custodians of the national cause not just through the perspective of the able backroom figures belonging to the SNP?

Argyll Publications published Tom Gallagher’s book, Divided Scotland: Ethnic Friction and Christian Crisis this summer.

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Comments (6)

  1. Despite this remarkable (and, I guess, percipient) review I doubt I shall be investing in Mr Torrance’s small tome.

    “And why?”, you don’t ask.

    Well, probably because:

    a. I know I shall be bombarded with acres of expert analyses in all the public prints for the next three trimesters, that the cases for and against will shift substantially over that period, and human flesh-and-blood can only stand so much;

    and

    b. As Charles Moore said, for The Spectator, yesterday:

    In Dublin, where I am writing this, people are watching the Scottish referendum campaign more closely than in London. Despite the polls, they almost expect a Yes vote, but most do not want one. People fear that Yes would weaken the UK and therefore make it a less useful ally for Ireland in the EU. They also think that an independent Scotland might overtake Ireland as a cute little place for foreign investors who like the combination of kilts, bagpipes and general Celtic carry-on with tax breaks and commercial access to the Anglosphere. Finally, they worry that Scottish independence would reopen the Irish question. At present, the Republic enjoys the fact that the settlement in the North has driven the call for a United Ireland into the background. The example of a breakaway Scotland would stir it up all over again. The more one thinks about the Scottish vote, the more multi-dimensionally dangerous it seems.

    Which ticks a fair number of my boxes more succinctly than near 400 pages of Mr Torrance.

    Who is, after all, a declared Tory, and has his book published in London, by a Tory-symp. publisher.

    If all else fails, I resort to the various on-the-spot sanities of Lallans Peat Worrier (whose comment on the White Paper worked for me), of Alex Massie, and of other scribblers.

    Oh, and if Torrance predicts that the confident and polished Humza Yousuf MSP, who cut his political teeth in the Scottish Islamic Foundation[,] will replace Salmond as party leader, he’s onto a dead loser. Not for any ethnic reasons, but because anything from Glasgow doesn’t easily sell north of Perth and Dundee. And Scottish party politics are notorious for good, inexplicable and unforgiving hates.

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  2. Greenflag (profile) says:

    @ Malcolm Redfellow ,

    Torrance doesn’t speak for me as you can probably guess but I’ll confess to being ‘lukewarm ‘ on the Scottish referendum vote -and if pressed my money would be on the No’s winning by 55% to 45% .

    I doubt if many in Ireland have thought as far as Scotland being a low corporation tax competitor . In any event the Republic still has a small climatic advantage and the Hibernese brand of English appears to be more widely understood by the average American than various Clyde Valley mutterings ;)

    I’m unworried and unmoved that a Yes vote would spark a re-ignition of a drive for a UI . I’ve been around a fair few years and I’ve seen various Taoisigh come and go but any serious drive for a UI I’ve yet to see . Some flowery pre election ritual nuptials from CJ Haughey perhaps and the expected repeated mantras from SF on the imagined benefits which would accrue from achieving this Holy Grail -but other that -nowt .

    As to the multi dimensionary dangers an independent Scotland could create I ‘d suggest Mr Moore is being overly neurotic .

    Geography , history , family connections -the monarchy and the absence of any civil or uncivil wars leading up to any independence will have their toll .

    The ‘low corporate ‘ taxation gambit is a tool which Ireland has used relatively successfuly for the past several decades in attracting FDI but it’s days may be numbered despite Mr Kenny’s reiterations that the rate will not change .

    As governments everywhere struggle to maintain revenues in the face of increasing welfare and health costs brought about by aging populations and globalisation -Scotland unlike Ireland does not have 50% of it’s population under 35 yrs of age and does not have several hundred thousand younger people abroad of whom many would return (half they say ) when the economy returns to a decent growth rate .

    Both the UK and Ireland as well as other peripheral countries like Portugal / Spain /Greece and others should combine their EU clout to counteract the powers of the EU centre and ensure that peripheral regions get their fair share of investment both public and private .

    I don’t doubt however the ability of the Tories to get themselves into situations whereby the Scots may decide for independence solely on the fact that they won’t ever have to listen to those ‘nancy boys ‘ south of Potters Bar lecturing them on how grateful they should be for being part of the UK and being unlike those ungrateful Irish who insisted on doing their own thing and would ye just look at where it got them North & South ;)?

    Leave it to the Scots I say .

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  3. Greenflag @ 4:27 pm:

    The seven words of your pithy final paragraph ring my bell.

    All the polling suggests a 45/55 vote is a fair prognostication: YouGov for the Times last week was 39/61 (excluding “dunno”s) and 33/52 straight. There seems to be a slight seepage to “Yes”, but all “within the margin of error”.

    That apart, anent the White Paper, George Eaton — who an come across a somewhat jejune — made some fair arguments in the Statesman.

    He made the usual caveats about First Minister Salmond as a “formidable” campaigner, while conceding that “the odds are overwhelmingly against him”. So the First Minister has trimmed, even to the point:

    After pledging to preserve so many of the features of the British state — the monarchy, the pound, Nato membership — independence looks increasingly like a solution in search of a problem.

    Well, if that’s what “independence” looks like, … words fail me.

    Eaton’s conclusion was the one that intrigued me:

    With just one Conservative MP in Scotland (compared to 41 for Labour), the fear of another five years under the Tory yoke, and a government wedded to permanent austerity, could help to push many towards independence. But if Labour is still comfortably ahead in the polls in September 2014, far fewer will fear what lies ahead. For this reason, a Tory recovery is perhaps the essential precondition of a Salmond victory.

    Hmmm … and is there any analogy for Wales and our own wee Norden Iron?

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  4. IrelandNorth (profile) says:

    Carwyn Jones, First Minister of the Welsh Assembly was quoted as having said that even in the unlikely event of the Scottish indepedence referendum being defeated by as close as 51% to 49% the United Kingdom (UK), as presently constituted couldn’t continued as it nothing had happened. Rather than the impending break-up of the UK being a doomsday scenario (like the Mayan calendar), it may in fact offer a stupendous opportunity for a reconfiguration of relations between the British and/or Irish Isles. An neo-imperialist unionsm isn’t the only paradigm. Both the Act of Settlement, 1707 and the Act of Union, 1800 are no longer fit for purpose, and long past their shelf life or sell-by dates. Thing is, have the respective political establishments in the islands four nations got what it takes to move from constitutional codependence to constitutional interdependence. A logical progression from devolution is to autonomy or federation, to which indepndent sections might readily realign.

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  5. Harry Flashman (profile) says:

    You know I lived in Scotland in 1990 and as far as I could see back then it was all over bar the shouting (and there was an awful lot of shouting, grandiloquent braying being the default setting of a certain type of Scot Nat in his cups). To my mind Scotland was a seething mass of discontent aching to be free of English rule.

    How wrong I was.

    Watching them standing every Friday night, legs apart in their kilts (it was the renaissance of that phony piece of “traditional” attire), in their Scottish rugby tops and desert boots – I never quite got the link between kilts and desert boots – as they bawled out that tiresome dirge “Flower of Scotland” which had recently become their national anthem I really thought they meant it. I was sure Scotland would be independent by the turn of the century.

    Nope, Slovakia became independent, as did the Balkans, the Soviet Union crumbled even poor wee East Timor wrenched itself free from the Indonesians, and still Scotland remains firmly ensconced in the Union.

    The most they ask for now is mild home rule in which they hold on to the Queen, the Pound, the NHS and the Beeb and even that milk and water proposal will probably be rejected as much too radical by most Scots.

    I now see that their new-found nationalism from back then was just so much pish and wind, a fit of passion following “Braveheart” (has any other nationalism been inspired by Hollywood fiction?) and beating the English at Murrayfield.

    Nothing more. Ireland will be reunited before Scotland has the balls to go it alone.

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  6. Greenflag (profile) says:

    @ Malcolm Redfellow,

    ‘ is there any analogy for Wales and our own wee Norden Iron?’

    That might depend on the numbers in the referendum . A 60/40 vote for the status quo could give comfort to traditional unionists in NI -An admittedly unlikely 51/49 one way or the other could jangle nerves on all political sides both in NI and Scotland .

    As to Eaton’s comment that a Tory recovery is perhaps the essential precondition of a Salmond victory he’s close enough . A week is a long time in politics and in 10 months people will be celebrating :( the 100th anniversary of the outbreak of WW1 .

    The other factor not often mentioned is the current Zeitgeist i.e the continuing aftermath of the financial crisis . RBS is still in trouble -more so than most people are aware . This issue may loom much larger as Sept 2014 approaches .

    In comparing a future Scotland to Ireland (Free State & Republic ) people forget that Ireland’s currency was effectively the pound sterling until as late as 1979 . Professor Joe Lee pointed out in his tome 1912-1969 that in their exercise of ‘independence ‘ the Irish politicians and their mandarins almost always when considering policy initiatives looked to the UK as their prototype for what would work in Ireland . They did not look at the achievements of the smaller European democracies such as Denmark or the Netherlands .

    So I would’nt critque Scottish independence supporters for not remaining within the sterling area or holding on to the monarchy etc .

    As to what ‘independence ‘ or ‘sovereignty ‘ really means in this globalised world economy ? That now is an issue which goes beyond Scotland , NI , Wales and the Republic and indeed the UK .

    I predicted a while back that Korea may be reunited before Ireland – It would be a hazardous guess to predict it may even happen before Scotland votes for or against independence but last week’s executions and imminent mass reprisals by the jittery Kim must make the residents of Seoul a mere couple of minutes by nuclear artillery from the North Korean border -aware as both Scots and Irish and English aren’t that sometimes normal everyday existence should’nt just be taken for granted .

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