Florida – All Over?

It looks that way.

From Fox News –  looks like a landslide for Romney.

But can Romney beat Obama?

Piles of stuff to read on RealClearPolitics…make up your own mind.

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  • Mick Fealty
  • Mick Fealty

    Romney still struggling with the wider GOP base:


    And this suggests the GOP may be making the right decision (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll):

    In potential Election 2012 matchups, it’s President Obama 47% and Romney 42%. However, if Gingrich is his Republican opponent, the president holds a double-digit lead, 50% to 37% (see tracking history).

    Or maybe not (http://ricochet.com/main-feed/The-Conversation-With-a-Florida-Tea-Partier-That-Should-Scare-Every-Republican):

    I see a Romney nomination causing Tea Partiers like me to tune out. We are already disheartened by the congressional leadership. Romney will be the final nail in the coffin. He is completely uninspiring, and is everything we have been working so hard to defeat within the GOP,” Rebecca said. “Don’t even get me started on that Bain Capital picture. Ugh. There is no way he can win. And I don’t want to have to defend him while he tries.”

  • Pete Baker

    So, in answer to the question in the post title, as is the answer to any headline question, i.e. Have I covered every eventuality? NO!

    Particularly so in this case…

  • Harry Flashman

    You know looking back over the US elections I can remember with only one or two exceptions how it was obvious who was going to win the presidential election, albeit with hindsight’s marvelous vision.

    Sunny Reagan versus the peanut farmer who messed up the Iran hostage recuse? Easy. Reagan again, in morning in America against grey Mondale? No brainer. Vice President Bush against the Massachusetts liberal with the odd name? Simple. Bush against Clinton, ah now that’s one of the few close-run things but Perot settled it. Bill Clinton against geriatric stiff war-veteran Dole? Are you kidding me? Wooden Gore versus Texas cowboy, tough one that went to the wire. Texas cowboy in a time of war against Herman Munster lookalike Massachusetts liberal (again, duh!)? No contest. Geriatric stiff war-veteran McCain (again, duh!) against bright shining, young telegenic black man? John hadn’t a hope (I called that one wrong at the time, more out of hope than anything else).

    Obama against Romney? Hmmm, is it one of those close run things again? Not so sure, whilst a lot of voters are disappointed with Obama and even more hate him, does anyone actually like the corporate suit with the strange religion?

    I’m calling, reluctantly, an Obama re-election.

    And following his disastrous second term the Dems will be out of elected office for ten years or more.

  • IT looks like it but im not sure.
    Its clear that a majority of Republicans do not want Romney.
    This could result particularly given the methods of electing delegates that Romney will not obtain 50% of the delegates and the Convention could select a totally new candidate such as Jed Bush.
    While this is unlikely it is clear that the present candidates are extremely weak and have little chance of defeating Obama unless the World economy collapses.

  • tuatha

    The grandees of the GOP must be weeping into their expensive brandy at the prospect of one of the current bunch of repugs representing their interests in 9 months time.

  • Neil

    Thought this was worth a read:


    The relevant paragraph being:

    Romney has undoubtedly emerged bloodied from the beating of the past few days. In no small measure, Gingrich, Perry and the rest of the Republican mob have done Obama’s preparatory work for him. “People have learned lots of disturbing facts about Romney over the past couple of weeks that will hurt him in the presidential election, and it’s all come from Republicans,” Sabato says. “All Obama needs to do is splice Perry calling him a vulture capitalist together with Gingrich on the Cayman Islands, and Romney has a problem.”

    Obama’s arsenal has been boosted by the Republican knife fight, and his attack plan has already taken some kind of shape. One assumes the Democrats will also do some digging on their opponent and more revelations may come. Obama on the other hand has already had the rubber glove treatment and the worst they could do was the whole birth certificate thing which seems to be dead in the water.

    I anticipate a very negative campaign by the Republicans after the very negative campaign for nomination. On the other hand, as the journo above suggests Obama can make his campaign ad out of clips of GOP on GOP attacks.

  • Harry Flashman

    “Obama on the other hand has already had the rubber glove treatment…”

    My drink splurged through my nose on to the monitor screen at that comment. Seriously do you believe the hallelujah chorus, formerly known as the media, that wafted Obama into the White House has remotely scrutinized Obama’s credentials?

    His past associations? His utter lack of any resume? His bare-faced lies in his “biography” the sole achievement in his entire career? Compare the lack of inquisitiveness about Obama’s past to their almost obsessive paring through George W Bush’s life history.

    Never has a candidate had an easier ride from the media than Barack H Obama, just ask Sarah Palin what it’s really like when the media get out the rubber gloves.

  • Neil

    I’m not referring to the media’s treatment of anyone, rather the digging that political parties do on their opponents. The Republicans will have produced the majority of their arsenal at some point between the last election and now. However the Democrats haven’t even started and Mitt’s already looking damaged.

    On the media front, your probably right for the most part. Much of the media wanted Obama to win last time round. This time may be different.

  • HeinzGuderian

    On the media front, your probably right for the most part. Much of the media wanted Obama to win last time round. This time may be different.

    Staggering piece of decisiveness there ? 😉

    Harry has called it correctly.
    Obama wins .
    Then the Democrats are out of Office for the next 10 years,at least.

    I called Obama last time round,when he was still slugging it out with Ma Clinton.
    7/1 was a price I just couldn’t refuse. 😉

  • New Yorker

    When voters find out how Romney made millions, Bernie Madoff will look like a saint. At least Madoff admitted he was a crook, Romney will protest that he is a successful capitalist, but there is not much difference between most private equity schemes and what Madoff was up to. Those who prize the innovation and hard work type of capitalism will be wise to stay away from Romney and all corporate carnivores.

  • Mick Fealty


    For once, in all your many postings, you’ve said something on topic, precise, and quite possibly deadly accurate.

  • Mick Fealty

    For information, this kind of shows what’s happened to Obama from 08… But I wouldn’t put too much store on this until the Conventions are over and the real campaign begins: