Okay, here’s an idea. During European elections the individual polling stations put up their turn out figures at 12 noon, 5pm and 9pm. The idea here is that people report back the figures they see at their local stations and any others they may have visited. Please make sure you are certain of the figures… I will open another thread for discussion of these figures so that we can use this one purely as a data dump! So no comments please, just your numbers!
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It took me a long time to warm to advertising agencies. The first time I worked with one I was working in sales management on Fairy Washing Up Liquid. I was due to attend a meeting at which I was to be told what consumers really thought of the brand. I remember my reluctance to [...] read our review »
we are now officially in election purdah
Crumlin boxes at 9pm. SF Cllr didn’t answer their phone so I had to walk up and back – apologies for the delay but based on activity at the polling station I can’t see the 9pm figures moving by more than 5%. Really low turnout here.
306/796 = 38%
409/1154 = 35%
336/844 = 40%
312/876 = 36%
Harmony Hill 9pm tallies looking like 205/237/289/372 – the Trimbles forgot to bring a calculator, but it’s about 35-37%ish at 9pm.
Brownlee Primary School in Lisburn , 284/229/198 at 9pm
Tweeted various other earlier.
Impression from the 15 or so polling stations I’ve popped into today was that West Belfast seemed to be slightly busier than South Belfast/Lisburn and a lot busier than East Belfast.
Will be interesting to see if there’s a higher rural vote – where Europe is a day to day issue – or whether it’s the same sluggish turnout or worse.
Stranmillis Road comes in at 34% turn out at 9pm. compared to the overall south belfast 2004 turnout of 49%
eek
36% at Cullen, final total…
> One for the electoral commission. The guys at Derrygonnelly polling station flatly refused to part with the turnout figures… Is that illegal?
http://www.eoni.org.uk/note_for_polling_agents_and_instructions.pdf
If you had a valid reason to be in the polling station – eg, an agent or someone voting – then …
> The presiding officer will display a notice showing the number of ballot papers
issued as soon as possible after 12noon, 5pm and 9pm. It is unlawful for the
presiding officer or the staff to give turnout information in any other way.
One for the electoral commission. The guys at Derrygonnelly polling station flatly refused to part with the turnout figures… Is that illegal?
They were meant to have them stuck up on the wall. When I arrived after 9.30pm the Presiding Officer already had them in sealed envelopes but went round all four desks, opened them again and gave me the 9pm figures. Seems like a failing in Derrygonnelly.
Harmony Hill boxes are 608 to 998…
Brownlee 560 – 937
Drumsurn (Ballot Box 4) 430/1004
Limavady :
Box
17 258/653
18 207/589
19 197/ 624
20 281/836
21 250/715
22 250573
23 264/634
24 202/511
25 225/642
26 258/552
27 298/698
28 172/457
29 161/493
Greystone Primary Antrim
Boxes 24,25,26,27 at 9 p.m.
176,165,331,294
Approx 35% turnout
Final figures for Loup Ward [Mid Ulster]
Box 56
Total electorate 812
Turnout – 540
Percentage – 66.5%
Box 57
Total electorate 905
Turnout – 505
Percentage – 55.8%
Some strays from the day:
Malvern Lower Shankill had a respectable 19 at 5…
Divis Community Centre was polling 40% at 8.30…
Not enough data to work out differentials… but I am hoping some of the hard core will be getting back later this evening…
Numbers still being crunched, but the first estimate we have is First estimates saying turnout in Northern Ireland is about 36%… down from 51.7 in 2004…
I visited Boxes 22 – 30 and 35 – 40 in East Belfast
The two Short Strand boxes had voted best at 47% by 9pm. The boxes strongly favour SF.
The loyalist heartland areas were all below 30%. Striving areas were in around 33%
The more leafy glade Ballyhackamore boxes had generally voted at about 40%. These boxes tend to favour Alliance.
Overall East Belfast looks to have voted below 40%.
Some strays from the day:
Malvern Lower Shankill had a respectable 19 at 5…
Divis Community Centre was polling 40% at 8.30…
Not enough data to work out differentials… but I am hoping some of the hard core will be getting back later this evening…
Numbers still being crunched, but the first estimate we have is First estimates saying turnout in Northern Ireland is about 36%… down from 51.7 in 2004…
pl: there is no such thing as tactical voting in a PR election if you transfer down the paper. To maximize the chance of keeping the unionists out, transfer to every candidate who is not a unionist. Although “keeping unionists out” is a pretty crap (and somewhat sectarian) objective to have, they do comprise somewhere between 50%-60% of the voters.
East Antrim/North Belfast figures (thanks Mark for the electoral office pointer – have computed the percentages):
St John’s Church
9 : 272/670 40.59%
10 : 290/878 33.02%
11 : 188/560 33.57%
12 : 134/564 23.75%
Rathcoole Primary
1 : 121/481 25.1%
2 : 168/605 27.76%
3 : 220/773 28.46%
4 : 134/400 33.5%
Good Shepherd, Mossley
68 : 310/900 34.44%
69 : 278/750 37.06%
70 : 306/872 35.09%
71 : 258/816 31.6%
72 : unknown
Whiteabbey Primary
73 : 283/700 40.4%
74 : 195/750 26.0%
75 : 300/749 40.0%
Rathcoole is consistently bad at turning out. I’m pleased about the results in Whiteabbey Primary as we worked these streets with Ian Parsley on the night before the poll.
Sammy Morse has a long night ahead number crunching, but he tells me that the picture to begin with appears to be of lower turnout among unionists, and with Sinn Fein having gotten their vote out.
Numbers still being crunched, but the first estimate we have is First estimates saying turnout in Northern Ireland is about 36%… down from 51.7 in 2004…
South Belfast
at 9pm
Fane St PS – 34%
62: 212
63: 231
Cullen Memorial Hall, Donegall Rd – 37%
50: 301
51: 246
52: 192
Sorry, just to clarify that. Sinn Fein have “just about” gotten their vote out. It’s not looking anything like the turnout density they have achieved in the past, but likely better than all the other parties.
East Antrim boxes:
St John’s Church
9 : 272
10 : 290
11 : 188
12 : 134
Rathcoole Primary
1 : 121
2 : 168
3 : 220
4 : 134
Good Shepherd, Mossley
68 : 310
69 : 278
70 : 306
71 : 258
Whiteabbey Primary
73 : 283
74 : 195
75 : 300
South Belfast at 9pm
Fane St 34%
62: 212
63: 231
Forkhill (South Armagh) 60% turnout.
Springhill Primary School
Box votes possible %
62 138 361 38.23
63 209 613 34.09
Harmony Primary School
64 150 526 28.52
65 135 400 33.75
Forthriver Primary School
56 326 777 41.96
57 124 427 29.04
Woodvale Community Centre
61 171 534 32.02
?? 173 522 33.14
Edenbrook Primary School
18 270 735 36.73
19 262 649 40.37
20 213 562 37.90
21 197 487 40.45
Glenwood Primary School
14 260 692 37.57
15 203 686 29.59
16 185 570 32.46
bw69 127 444 28.60
West Kirk
BW68 216 669 32.29
Malvern
bw66 213 580 36.72
bw67 129 408 31.62
Gailey Memorial Hall
42 250 616 40.58
43 324 609 53.20
Good evening Slugger, this is Fortwilliam calling. Here are the (incomplete) results of the North Belfast jury…
NB Rathcoole 1 121 481 25.2%
NB Rathcoole 2 168 605 27.8%
NB Rathcoole 3 220 773 28.5%
NB Rathcoole 4 134 400 33.5%
NB St. John’s 9 272 670 40.6%
NB St. John’s 10 290 878 33.0%
NB St. John’s 11 188 560 33.6%
NB St. John’s 12 134 564 23.8%
NB Glenwood 14 260 683 38.1%
NB Glenwood 15 203 682 29.8%
NB Glenwood 16 185 564 32.8%
NB Edenbrook 18 270 727 37.1%
NB Edenbrook 19 262 645 40.6%
NB Edenbrook 20 213 555 38.4%
NB Edenbrook 21 197 481 41.0%
NB Star of the Sea 23 342 776 44.1%
NB Star of the Sea 24 300 786 38.2%
NB Star of the Sea 25 306 846 36.2%
NB Star of the Sea 26 120 365 32.9%
NB Currie 27 175 601 29.1%
NB Currie 28 129 340 37.9%
NB Grove 29 92 480 19.2%
NB Grove 30 242 698 34.7%
NB Holy Family 33 244 635 38.4%
NB Holy Family 34 240 543 44.2%
NB Ardoyne 35 321 833 38.5%
NB Ardoyne 36 267 619 43.1%
NB Ardoyne 37 370 859 43.1%
NB Ardoyne 38 265 679 39.0%
NB Ardoyne 39 245 631 38.8%
NB Carrs Glen 46 215 535 40.2%
NB Carrs Glen 47 221 594 37.2%
NB Carrs Glen 48 206 538 38.3%
NB St. Therese 55 285 735 38.8%
NB St. Therese 56 454 853 53.2%
NB St. Therese 57 364 839 43.4%
NB St. Therese 58 400 903 44.3%
NB Fortwilliam 59 208 505 41.2%
NB Fortwilliam 60 306 666 45.9%
NB Fortwilliam 61 312 606 51.5%
NB Seaview 62 277 599 46.2%
NB Seaview 63 254 577 44.0%
NB Cavehill 64 376 848 44.3%
NB Cavehill 65 338 810 41.7%
NB Cavehill 66 435 892 48.8%
NB Cavehill 67 421 884 47.6%
NB Lowwood 68 380 763 49.8%
NB Lowwood 69 301 775 38.8%
NB Lowwood 70 284 760 37.4%
NB Lowwood 71 281 793 35.4%
Good morning, Slugger, this is Fortwilliam calling. Here are the (incomplete) results of the North Belfast jury.
NB Rathcoole 1 121 481 25.2%
NB Rathcoole 2 168 605 27.8%
NB Rathcoole 3 220 773 28.5%
NB Rathcoole 4 134 400 33.5%
NB St. John’s 9 272 670 40.6%
NB St. John’s 10 290 878 33.0%
NB St. John’s 11 188 560 33.6%
NB St. John’s 12 134 564 23.8%
NB Glenwood 14 260 683 38.1%
NB Glenwood 15 203 682 29.8%
NB Glenwood 16 185 564 32.8%
NB Edenbrook 18 270 727 37.1%
NB Edenbrook 19 262 645 40.6%
NB Edenbrook 20 213 555 38.4%
NB Edenbrook 21 197 481 41.0%
NB Star of the Sea 23 342 776 44.1%
NB Star of the Sea 24 300 786 38.2%
NB Star of the Sea 25 306 846 36.2%
NB Star of the Sea 26 120 365 32.9%
NB Currie 27 175 601 29.1%
NB Currie 28 129 340 37.9%
NB Grove 29 92 480 19.2%
NB Grove 30 242 690 35.1%
NB Holy Family 33 244 635 38.4%
NB Holy Family 34 240 543 44.2%
NB Ardoyne 35 321 833 38.5%
NB Ardoyne 36 267 619 43.1%
NB Ardoyne 37 370 859 43.1%
NB Ardoyne 38 265 679 39.0%
NB Ardoyne 39 245 631 38.8%
NB Carrs Glen 46 215 535 40.2%
NB Carrs Glen 47 221 594 37.2%
NB Carrs Glen 48 206 538 38.3%
NB St. Therese 55 285 735 38.8%
NB St. Therese 56 454 853 53.2%
NB St. Therese 57 364 839 43.4%
NB St. Therese 58 400 903 44.3%
NB Fortwilliam 59 208 505 41.2%
NB Fortwilliam 60 306 666 45.9%
NB Fortwilliam 61 312 606 51.5%
NB Seaview 62 277 599 46.2%
NB Seaview 63 254 577 44.0%
NB Cavehill 64 376 848 44.3%
NB Cavehill 65 338 810 41.7%
NB Cavehill 66 435 892 48.8%
NB Cavehill 67 421 884 47.6%
NB Lowwood 68 380 763 49.8%
NB Lowwood 69 301 775 38.8%
NB Lowwood 70 284 760 37.4%
NB Lowwood 71 281 793 35.4%
In general, in Belfast, SDLP and Alliance strongholds have tended to have the highest turnouts. Strong Alliance areas turning out best also in E Antrim and N Down, but turnout in both those constituencies is characteristically poor. SF don’t seem to have the same differential turnout in Belfast they would normally expect.
40% and 41% in the Markets boxes.
Is this the lowest ever?
A mere 4% dividing the Markets and the Donegall Road is good news for the DUP.
Largymore, Lisburn South. 21:00hrs Electorate 4,600 turnout 35% Highest turnout in Lisburn south.
Sammy
How do you think the result will shake down, based on the figures you have got?
New Lodge averaging 38.5% and Ardoyne 40.5% is uncharacteristically weak, although I’ll qualify that by saying they were the only two polling stations of 11 I visited in the last hour and half with significant activity (Ardoyne managed a traffic jam on Herbert Street!)
What do you think the result will look like?
Tell me about the f*^king golf shoes!
4 boxes at Ballyoran PS in the nationalist area of Portadown had around a 40% turnout according to one of the electoral officials.
For the record, I was given the WRONG information at the desk at Whiteabbey primary. I was told to arrange the candidates from 1 to 7 in order of preference. I knew better but many may not.
Belmont Nursery School, Derry city at close of poll
Turnout 52% + postal votes
Small but not unrepresentative polling station for Derry’s west bank. Overall turnout down significantly. Big grey vote turnout but less younger vote, favouring SDLP.
52% in St. Pauls at Beechmount Avenue. Sinn Fein reporting that this was the best turnout in the west of the city.
3 Ballymena Rural at close
56, 57 & 58%
For the record, I was given the WRONG information at the desk at Whiteabbey primary. I was told to arrange the candidates from 1 to 7 in order of preference.
Why is this wrong?
More Details from East Belfast (9pm voting figures)
Victoria Pk PS Box 22 31.6%
23 33.3%
24 27.2%
Dee St CC Box 25 26.1%
26 28.4%
St Matthews SS 27 44.8%
28 50.0%
Beechfield PS Box 29 29.5%
30 29.0%
Dundela Inf Box 35 26.3%
36 35.9%
37 37.1%
38 40.7%
St Josephs PS Box 39 41.9%
40 34.4%
Got info that a ballymena rural was 46% at close of play. Turnout seemd to be steady in glens and heard no one was voting DUP in Waringstown
Anyone know how to divide up Sammys NB figures into party/community camps?
jeep55,
are the Saints (ST) Nats and the other Unionists?
For the record, I was given the WRONG information at the desk at Whiteabbey primary. I was told to arrange the candidates from 1 to 7 in order of preference. I knew better but many may not.
You’re not the dork with the rucksack I saw in Whiteabbey Primary polling station at about 9pm giving the workers there a hard time and asking for the rules to be checked ?
Fathom Ward (South Armagh/part of Newry) – estimate of 50% turnout.
Sammy
Not quite sure what the ST means! The SS stands for Short Strand – so boxes 27 and 28 are 100% Nationalist. Boxes 25/26 and 29/30 are practically 100% Unionist. All others are mainly Unionist but some of the Dundela and particularly St Joseph’s boxes have a moderate middle class Catholic vote which tends to favour SDLP and Alliance. In a very small way I am picking up the same trends that Sammy Morse is getting from the North Belfast figures.
Slugger/Sammy Morse gets dissed by Beeb.
“Some anecdotal accounts suggest weaker polling in unionist and working class areas. “
jeep55,
thanks for that ST as in Saint St Josephs/St Matthews – should have put St.
I voted at 8.50pm in Ashgrove Primary ( Glengormley, St Antrim) and my next door neighbour, who was acting as Poll Clerk said that there had been a total of about 500 votes in the two boxes, and normally there would be twice that at that stage. She has been doing it for years and said she had never seen it so slow at all
Were there council elections at the same time too, last time around?
All the info you need here, no local elections at the same time they were 2005.
http://www.ark.ac.uk/elections/