Slugger O'Toole

Conversation, politics and stray insights

A different form of Unionism that reaches places the DUP can never reach…

Sun 27 July 2008, 1:12am

The Watchman, and occasional contributor of longer think pieces gives his assessment of the announcement during the week of the proposed new alignment between the Ulster Unionists, and David Cameron’s new liberal ToriesBy The Watchman

“What I want us to explore with the Ulster Unionists is not really some kind of ‘lets have some joint candidates or work together’ I want to be more ambitious than that.”

“I would like to see us establish a new political force in Northern Ireland that is both Conservative and Unionist, that can say to people, look, get beyond the old politics of constitution or orange or green.”

Those comments from David Cameron are remarkable, and unthinkable from almost any recent Tory leader. They are worth tracking down in full on Nuzhound. Previous Tory pronouncements about the Union were analogous to a husband assuring his wife of a lasting but loveless marriage. In seeking out the UUP, Cameron arrives with the political equivalent of chocolates, flowers and scented candles.

He seems confident enough that the next election is in the bag to turn his attention to the regional problems liable to affect a party with overwhelmingly English Parliamentary seats. The links with the UUP is one sign. There is also speculation of secret Tory-SNP talks that would give the Scottish Government greater autonomy in return for constitutional stability.

Even after Edward Heath stabbed the Ulster Unionists in the back, many within the party longed for a rapprochement with the Tories. Simon Heffer’s biography of the Great Enoch relates the anger felt in Powell’s South Down constituency party in the mid-1970s at their Member’s Labour sympathies. Two leading Tory backbenchers were even said to have turned up to constituency officers to agitate secretly against Powell.

As the years went on, many Ulster Unionists felt, rightly, that support for them was more likely to be found in the Conservative Party than anywhere else and that some form of renewed alliance would balance the pan-nationalist axis. They were often embarrassed by Paisleyism and craved the respectability that association with the Tories might give them.

The details of the new relationship between the Conservatives and the Ulster Unionists have still to be worked out. The UUP membership was certainly taken by surprise and may be unsettled by some of what their new suitor would like to see. The comments of Cameron quoted above go far beyond a simple renewal of pre-1974 links. It seems unlikely that the Ulster Unionist Council would vote to subsume itself into the Tory Party, the political equivalent of Stewarts becoming Tesco.

The small numbers of Tory activists already in Northern Ireland also seem hesitant. They see a deal as entailing the absorption of the UUP into the Tory Party as it presently stands. They may be disappointed. Perhaps the likeliest outcome of the talks is for a British version of the partnership on the German centre-right between the Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Social Union of Bavaria.

David Cameron’s wooing may be a lifeline for the UUP. Despite its morale-boosting council win in Dromore, the party has deep problems. It has not yet worked out a role for itself as the minor unionist party. In seeking new support, it cannot decide whether to go to the Garden Centre or to the Orange Hall.

Even a successful link-up with the Tories would not deliver votes to the UUP by the general election. It might shore up Lady Sylvia in North Down. If David Burnside fancies a return to Westminster, it could help him in South Antrim, where the ineffectual Willie McCrea will lose crucial votes to the TUV. Perhaps, and this is a long shot, the UUP could cut a deal with the DUP that might deliver it either South Belfast or Fermanagh South Tyrone.

But regardless of immediate paybacks, a coalition with the Tories would allow the UUP, under whatever title, to carve out a role for itself as a distinctively unionist party, in contrast to the latent Ulster nationalism of the DUP. Handled correctly, this could be the basis of a different form of unionism that reaches places that the DUP can never reach.

Curious times indeed.

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Comments (87)

  1. Rabelais says:

    Frustrated Democrat,

    ‘Scotland will be a part of the Union for a long time to come even the SNP accepts that.’

    Really? After Glasgow East the SNP are probably feeling pretty ebullient at the moment. They have just significantly eaten into their main opponents territory and if the Tories do get elected to Westminister and the SNP don’t capitalise on that it will go down as one of the greatest political missed opertunities.

    Nothing is forgone but if you were a unionist of the Ulster variety don’t you think that the possibility of Scotish independence would have set of alarm bells ringing?

    ‘The Conservative party believes in the Union, it was Labour that opened a parliament in Scotland.’

    Labour south of the border has a serious vested interest in maintaining the union. Its historic strength in Scotland is a massive help to the party’s elevation to power. The devolution that took place under New Labour was designed to preserve the union in some form. On the other hand, Tory policy has certainly since Thatcher antagonised Scotland. There is no point huffing and puffing about your unionist credentials if you policies excarbate divisions. In any case, I think the Tories will act pragmatically and see that their best chance is to act as the voice of little Englander nationalism. In this respect I think it will probably be the combined political ambitions of the SNP and the Conservatives that will deal the death blow to the union.

    ‘Interestingly many of the traits of the SNP in action ( apart from the independence part which is an aspiration that is well and truly on the back burner) are Conservative in nature not Labour e.g Europe. So you know where the previous Conservative vote went.’

    Maybe once upon a time the SNP could have been described as the ‘tartan Tories’ but they are wily enough to know Scotland has a broadly centre-left electorate and its version of Scottish nationhood will have to be built on social democratic terms.

    ‘So for those who believe in the union, vote for a Party that believes in it and can actively strive to preserve it by showing it works for the people!’

    What are you talking about ‘works for the people’. What ‘people’ do the Tories ‘work for’? Clearly Scotland (and to a lesser extent Wales) have made it very clear that they don’t feel it works for them. I’m afraid electioneering, populist rhetoric just won’t save you!

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  2. billie-Joe Remarkable says:

    UMH. How to break this gently. Um, could you stop posting?

    I don’t mind that you are Unionist/Loyalist/British. I do get offended by your dim-wittedness. No offence.

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  3. frustrated democrat says:

    Rabelais

    The world has moved on from the 80′s and 90′s you are looking at old politics, the poll tax is long gone and Tories still get voted for in Scotland with about 13% of the vote and that will rise in the next election.

    The last by election was not about Scottish independence it was about the failure of the Labour Government, even Alex Salmond admits that. He also admits that the majority of the Scottish people do not want an independent Scotland, only about 1/3 of the people voted for SNP in the last election and some of those do not want an independent Scotland.

    So no, the fear of an idependent Scotland is not on my horizon and will not be for a long time to come just as a United Ireland is even further away.

    A vote for Conservative Unionism when it comes will be a vote for a stronger Union.

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  4. 6countyprod says:

    Frustrated Democrat: DUP supporters here are guilty of wishful thinking

    FD, you shouldn’t fell so frustrated just because your party has fallen to 2nd or 3rd, or is it 4th place. Things might get a little better!

    As someone who usually votes DUP, but occasionally gives the UUP a No.1, I reckon the DUP are not guilty of wishful thinking. But your multiple-point wish list above reveals that UUP supporters probably are.

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  5. frustrated democrat says:

    6cp

    Judging by your n de p. the problem is you are an NI nationalist not a unionist … NI nationalism I believe has no future… however NI unionism does…. the UK will be here to stay for a very long time and Conservative Unionism will set that clearly and unshakeably in concrete.

    So make up your mind as to what you are.

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  6. frustrated democrat says:

    6cp

    I am not in that particular party to which you refer.

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  7. Peter Brown says:

    I think that this was always a deal which potentially benefitted the UUP more than the Tories – the Tories cement the union and get 1 MP’s vote (it’s not lilely to higher than this even after the next election certainly no more than 3 – only UUP HQ will still be treumpeting 10 MPs!), the UUP gets a lifeline to a drowning person whose already been under twice.

    The problem is that the Conservative Party’s 21st century machine will extract every last drop of good from this deal while the UUP shows little or no sign or having drageed t=itself kicking and screaming into the 20th century never mind the 21st (new rules are 20th century and on paper and yet to be effectively implemented) and consequently as so often before the UUP will probably let go of the rope to shoot itself in the foot at some point in the relatively near future (formal link up with UDP as well as PUP which will see the Tories running for cover strikes me as being something the UUP would probably embrace!!)

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  8. Rabelais says:

    FD,

    ‘The world has moved on from the 80’s and 90’s you are looking at old politics, the poll tax is long gone and Tories still get voted for in Scotland with about 13% of the vote and that will rise in the next election.’

    Your right the world has moved on put is 13% something to boast about. Well, I suppose that’s about the same as the UUP over here… Still what sort of gains did the Tories make in Glasgow East? Fuck all.

    ‘The last by election was not about Scottish independence it was about the failure of the Labour Government, even Alex Salmond admits that. He also admits that the majority of the Scottish people do not want an independent Scotland, only about 1/3 of the people voted for SNP in the last election and some of those do not want an independent Scotland.’

    This is a more interesting point. I agree I don’t think the Scots are born-again nationalists. But fundamental political differences exist between Scotland and England: namely that England is a largely conservative country and Scotland is more inclined towards social democracy. A vote for Scottish independence in this context is less inspired by nationalism than different social and economic priorities and preferences either side of the Tweed. I actually believe that the Scots would vote for independence the rather heavy heart but the differences with a Tory governemy in power down south may be simply insurmountable

    ‘So no, the fear of an idependent Scotland is not on my horizon and will not be for a long time to come just as a United Ireland is even further away.’

    If I were a Ulster unionist this statement would read like a lot of Anglofied complacent shit and percisely the reason why the Conservatives will never be trusted by what they percieve as their natural constituency in Ulster. The DUP and unionism general rely on talking up the threat of a united Ireland.

    ‘A vote for Conservative Unionism when it comes will be a vote for a stronger Union.’

    Keep the rhetoric for your election leaflets they impress no one on a discussion board. And in any case it is exactly Conservative unionism which will drive the Scots out in the end.

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  9. The Watchman says:

    Thanks to all who have contributed. Michael Shilliday was right to point out a non sequiter in the penultimate paragraph. In my limited defence, by that stage I was too busy putting things to bed to notice – a bit like Trimble on Good Friday. “Would” ought to have read “may not”.

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  10. The Watchman says:

    “You realise this is a linkup with a Cameron conservative party right? Cameron has worked hard to try to detoxify the Conservative brand and present a more modern face. I have my doubts about the reality of some UUP figures being able to personify this effectively.

    Posted by Duncan Shipley Dalton on Jul 26, 2008 @ 10:15 PM”

    I think the idea of “detoxifying the Tory brand” is a whole lot of nonsense. The notion is based on the empty twitterings of Michael Portillo that the Tories lost votes because they weren’t in tune with leftist social structures – an amusing notion for those who live in the real world that Portillo etc. have rarely visited.

    Cameron is 20 points ahead because everyone’s feeling poorer.

    And any Ulster candidate of this new entity that fought an election as a groovy Cameroon would fight an election in Islington or Brighton would be on a hiding to nothing. I doubt that metropolitan social liberalism would play well in most of Ulster. I also bet the DUP would love nothing more than to fight such a candidate.

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  11. bob Wilson says:

    ‘Cameron is 20 points ahead because everyone’s feeling poorer.

    And any Ulster candidate of this new entity that fought an election as a groovy Cameroon would fight an election in Islington or Brighton would be on a hiding to nothing.’

    Watchman’s in danger of tying himself in knots here.

    The next GE will be ‘the economy stupid’ and the Conservative & Unionists will be able to appeal to the instincts not just to vote Labour out but to put Cameron in. People will in focused on economic management, stamp duty, taxes in general.
    In addition we may be able to tweak a few policies for NI – more in due course.

    All our candidates will probably be local folk – none of the Ulster Tories are groovy.

    The alternatives – alliance – enough said and the DUP the leading partner is a failing govt and with no relevance at Westminster. What will their election slogan be?

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  12. Conquistador says:

    Up until last week the NI Tory party were full of nothing but bile for the UUP, is this gone?

    Oh and 6cp you’re deluding yourself if you think the DUP are less corrupt than the UUP, let alone selfless great champions of the union.

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  13. 6countyprod says:

    Conq,
    Talking to me? What do you mean?

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  14. Rooster Cogburn says:

    Bob, your neck is dangerously unwound. For years people on this site have told you personally: the leadership in London don’t give a toss for ‘local’ Tories, and, should ever circumstances allow, would cheerfully rebadge the party in the province *as* the UUP (the party you’ve kept denouncing as unTory, regional schists). And look what’s happened – you’ve been ignored and Reg (of all, unTory people) has been indulged.

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  15. Duncan Shipley Dalton says:

    Watchman,

    So not as British as Islington or Brighton then?

    It’s overly simplistic to think that merely the economy has made the difference Cameron has rebranded the conservatives successfully and it is in line with Portillo’s detoxification ideas. Portillo was entirely right and it’s a great tragedy that he was not leader instead of that disaster IDS. The economy makes a big difference and is most certainly hurting Brown and Labour but if the Tories were still the nasty party I don’t believe they would be doing anywhere near so well. Social attitudes have shifted and it was necessary for the Conservatives to come to terms with them and to begin to better reflect the reality of the society they are embedded in. Under Cameron they have begun to do that and it’s paying dividends.

    True enough though Ulster is most likely somewhat of an outlier and is a more small ‘c’ conservative society. Although metropolitan social liberalism probably wouldn’t play well in FST it may find a more receptive audience in South Belfast or South Antrim. Besides which a gradual shift towards the wider social and cultural norms of British society is likely to be inevitable anyway so why not embrace them early and get ahead of the curve. It’s strange to think that such unlikely bedfellows as you and I might actually both be supporters of a new NI Conservative/UUP grouping although coming from very different sides of the conservative party it would seem but I suppose there has to be room for Cameroons and the Monday club to keep the intellectual diversity that makes up the party.

    The DUP might love to fight such a candidate but they would be wrong. A battle with a Cameroon candidate would move the debate onto the very ground on which the DUP is at its most vulnerable. The last thing the DUP wants is to have to spend an election highlighting their antediluvian social attitudes and reminding everyone why they are always going to be the pariahs of any UK parliament. Personally I think a socially liberal and progressive candidate would do well in some constituencies and I hope that the new grouping is brave enough to experiment a bit.

    A little tangential but I have to ask. Watchman do you condemn the comments made by Iris Robinson about gays or do you agree with her?

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  16. cullig says:

    Cameron should be careful who he’s getting into bed with.

    In two years time Mr Adams will scuttle Stormont as he comes into power.

    There will be talk of a dangerous power vacuum.

    Dave will have to strike a deal, and pay the price.

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  17. Rooster Cogburn says:

    No Duncan, differently British, much as each place you cite is differently British one to another. Grasping that’s a pretty simple tenet of unionism. I really don’t mean to be personal, but if you still don’t get that ‘Britishness’ isn’t defined simply by how close, or not, something is to a mythical English template, well, perhaps we can all begin to agree that your political failure as a ‘Unionist’ involved slightly more than attitudes to the Agreement?

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  18. Duncan Shipley Dalton says:

    Sarcasm doesn’t translate to blogs so well does it? Of course I am well aware of the differences I was simply pointing out the irony of this difference as compared to the often quoted phrase by Mrs. Thatcher that NI was as British as Finchley. Does that explain it for the slow of understanding?

    I have never suggested Britishness refers to some kind of mythical English template and I don’t believe that for one minute. The diversity of the Britishness of the union is its very strength. However I don’t believe either that some kind of little Ulster nationalism or anti English racism dressed up in unionist clothes is a reflection of real unionist opinion. My ‘failure’ as you describe it was as a consequence of my choice to retire. I made mistakes and my age and inexperience led to my acting in ways that were detrimental to me and I would describe as somewhat petulant. Life is an ongoing journey and I would hope that I am able to learn from my mistakes. I needed to step out and get my head showered and I have had 5 years in the United States to do that. It has I believe been good for me. I will admit that events forced the choice upon me in large measure but sometimes the best things for you are not necessarily the things we would first chose. Time will tell I guess.

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  19. Greenflag says:

    Duncan Shipley Dalton

    ”I made mistakes and my age and inexperience led to my acting in ways that were detrimental to me and I would describe as somewhat petulant.’

    The man who never made a mistake never made anything .

    ‘ Life is an ongoing journey and I would hope that I am able to learn from my mistakes. I needed to step out and get my head showered and I have had 5 years in the United States to do that. It has I believe been good for me. ‘

    And a good read for what is happening Stateside and over here soon enough is Kevin Phillips – ‘Bad Money ‘ or how ‘bad capitalism has driven out good capitalism ‘ It’s ironic to think that while the USA appears to be moving left -the UK is moving the other way . These political times seem to be out of synch which is probably a reflection of western world uncertainty re the upcoming changes in power balances in our newly globalised world . With control over world oil resources /supplies now 80% in the hands of ‘nationalist’ – mercantilist governments from Russia to Brazil to Venezulea etc and the Anglo American former seven sisters being booted to outfield it would be a brave man who would predict where the West will be in another decade .

    Oh and good luck in any future political career:).

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  20. Steve says:

    Greenflag

    It’s ironic to think that while the USA appears to be moving left -the UK is moving the other way .

    yeah GF but the left in the US is still to the right of the right in the UK

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  21. Bob Wilson says:

    Rooster (and others)
    There are alot of people out there who, understandably perhaps because of the media coverage, have gaining the impression that ‘London’ or ‘CCHQ’ has stitiched up a deal with some ‘Trimble cabal’
    For information: the Conservative side of the Working Party is made up of Ulster Tories – 100%.
    It reports to the Owen Paterson and the NI Area Executive.
    We are hoping to engage some advice from CCHQ sortly but this is professional rather than political.

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  22. Rooster Cogburn says:

    Bob: the decision was taken over your heads; you haven’t been involved in the discussions Empey has had with Cameron in London; your ‘working party’ is nothing more than Woodentop’s indulgent way of making you feel you’re being listened to. You’re not. You never were. You didn’t initiate this process; you’re evidently less well informed than even I am about what’s happening; you won’t determine its outcome. Yet again, the poor, brave, sincere sods who make up the ‘local’ Ni Tories have been stitched up by london, and are about to find themselves rolled up into precisely the regionnal party they’ve, most of them, spent the last 10 years denouncing. Welcome back.

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  23. Bob Wilson says:

    My apols to those of you out there. My post earlier was intended simply as a bit of information but Rooster has gone off the deep end.
    I dont intend to respond to each of his sweeping unfounded points.
    Maybe he can come up with some facts. When was the most recent meeting with Reg and Cameron in London. Who were the other 7 people around the table in the Leader’s office?

    Again my apols to the rest of you but I think it unwise of me to feed the troll anymore!

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  24. Rooster Cogburn says:

    I love that ‘most recent meeting’ casually dropped in there by the bould Bob. You might almost think he had been to some before. You know, the ones he didn’t know were even taking place. The ones where Reg and Dave took the decisions. Without, my oh my, consulting Bob or any of his local colleagues in any form whatsoever.

    Seriously Bob, after all your years on Slugger of anti-UUP yammering, if you now want to maintain that a.) being folded into the UUP was always your heart’s desire & b.) you (or any other ‘local’ Tory come to that) were in any shape or fashion instrumental in this decision being taken (as opposed to latterly, laggardly being merely told that it had been taken), okay, there you are. You and I both know it ain’t true.

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  25. bob Wilson says:

    Still a bit short on facts Rooster

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  26. The Watchman says:

    Sorry for the delay in replying, Duncan. By the way, I’m not really a Monday Clubber as my opinions on race wouldn’t fit in well there.

    Whatever else has put the Tories so far ahead, it sure isn’t because of not being “nasty” any longer. The Tories were marooned for years not because they supported things like Section 28 (public support for which was about twice the poll rating scored by the Tories during this period) but because Brown’s mis-handling of the economy took years to reach its present awful fruition. That’s what has put Windmill Dave so far ahead and which may in time make him PM, not those huskie trips and the other stunts.

    At the risk of pointing out the flipping obvious, most people in the UK outside the political class hold pretty “right wing” views on lots of subjects. They want criminals hammered by the state, they hate the feeble political correctness that harms their businesses, they hate social security scroungers. In fact if you wanted to appeal to those people, you would discover a point of consensus around an Islington table and resolve on doing the precise opposite. Oh, and given so many of the problems facing Britain, in terms of crime, education and social security, social conservatism is the answer, not the reheated Blairism that the Heir to Blair will be offering if he gets elected. But that’s the problem with the Tories:, as you point out, they are always coming to terms with what they believe to be irreversibly liberal social changes, which is why a Tory government will come unstuck when it fdinds it can’t deal with the problems.

    I have already said here I think Iris Robinson’s comments were totally crass and stupid, even though I share much of her basic theology. I believe homosexuality to be immoral but I believe opposition to it needs to be conducted with civility and care, and that comparisons to paedophilia etc. are dumb. I also believe that there is secular tide in public life that is intent on pushing Christian-related beliefs to the sidelines.

    You have more confidence in the secularism of unionist voters than me. Although secularism is growing in Northern Ireland (and any growth can be reversed), it is growing slower than elsewhere and in particular it is growing slower on the Protestant side. Of course, the DUP would welcome a unionist candidate with “progressive social attitudes” and a skilled Christian like Wee Jeffrey would be certain to mobilise a lot of support. Have you forgotten how Bush got the Christian vote out in battleground states in 2004?

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  27. Rooster Cogburn says:

    So that’s a yes then, is it, Bob? Yes, I, Bob, found out that this decision had been taken only after it had been taken (and, yes, the idea that I had contributed anything to the taking of the decision I knew nothing about is, obviously, i>absurd)? And, yes, it is of course the opposite course to the one I’ve been shouting about on Slugger for the past, God only knows how many years? Yes, I used to believe that the UUP were a bunch of no-hoper, going-nowhere, self-defeating, inconsequential, crypto-Ulster nationalist losers, now I know better, and, yes, the UUP are in fact where my leader in London is unceremoniously dumping me. Give it up Bob, black isn’t white and you’re not ‘deciding’ anything – you’re, rather tamely, doing what you’re told, however contrary that it to what you used to believe. As I’ve said already, welcome back to the UUP.

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  28. Greenflag says:

    Steve

    ‘but the left in the US is still to the right of the right in the UK ‘

    Not any more . Reason being the current economic meltdown in the USA is far worse than what the UK or Ireland are presently undergoing or will undergo . When you get the likes of Warren Buffet , Bill Gates and former White Secretary of the Treasury Paul O’Neill sitting down to discuss the economy with Obama then you know that things are actually worse than what the ‘media’ are stating .

    What’s happening in the USA is nothing less than a full scale revelation of where the ‘free market’ and a deregulated financial services can lead a country if the ‘reins’ are removed . The triumph of capitalism of the early post communist era has now morphed into the triumph of bad capitalism over good capitalism . How this one turns out will determine basically how long it will take for the USA and it’s dollar to be deposed from it’s No 1 ranking in the global economy . If the new administration can’t reverse the decline then you had better start taking Mandarin or Hindi lessons for the coming Asian century .

    Back in 1988 ( yes that was when Northern Ireland was beginning it’s talks about talks or was it talks about talks about the possibility of talks ? ) anyway Asia at that time meant Japan and the worry was that the Japanese were going to become the world’s number one economy . They’re still number 2 although the average Japanese citizen has a net worth three times his American equivalent . Anyway since 1988 China , India , South Korea, Russia and further afield even Brazil have all emerged with strong economies and billions of dollars in nationally owned oil corporations . So it’s only a question of time . America’s last gasp at retaining world global economic hegemony was to gain control of the Iraqi oil fields via ‘privatisation ‘ and also Iran’s if they could get away with it . Now the latter possibilty is becoming remote . All of the above has happened in a 20 year period .Most of the global power balance change -to America’s disadvantage has occurred during the current Bush Presidency. This President has been and will be recognised by history as the instigator of the USA’s relative economic decline . The signs were there before Bush took office but the last four years since the poorly planned and even more ineptly executed Iraqi invasion will no doubt result in Bush winning the Darwin Award .

    As for Northern Ireland – Well right now it looks very much like both main parties seem set on returning to 1988 . Despite the ascent of Asia or a fast changing world the dreary steeples of Fermanagh etc etc etc .

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  29. bob Wilson says:

    Yawn, your boring me now Rooster.
    I told you I wasnt going to respond point by point suffice to say youre wrong.
    Time will tell will it not.
    Feel free to email me direct – I notice you are not using a real email address

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  30. Duncan Shipley Dalton says:

    Watchman,

    Glad to hear you distance yourself from the Monday clubs views on race. I would say that I have a lot of hope of the secularism of unionist voters. Northern Ireland has a more Christian community than the mainland but regular churchgoing is still a minority occupation in NI and I continue to hope that the churches decline will continue apace. I am not so sure about a secular tide with any intent but the inevitable decline of religion in our society is of course moving Christian related beliefs to the sidelines and I view that as a positive development. NI will in due course follow the path of the mainland it may take longer but I have every hope that it will get there eventually. Whilst the American Christian right might at times seem powerful they are a declining force also and very much a minority. On a personal note a more unpleasant judgmental bunch of hypocrites would be hard to find and the one good thing that came from my divorce was to sever the connection with my ex wife’s deeply unpleasant southern Baptist parents.

    I would think that wee Jeffery (a man small in both stature and intellect) already does moblise the Christian vote so I don’t see how he would improve his vote. My view is that a progressive candidate could reach voters who do not normally participate and might tap into a wider vein of support but one never knows until it’s tried. I can’t really comment on Lagan Valley because I don’t know it well enough but I am utterly convinced that a moderate progressive unionist/conservative candidate could give McCrea a run in South Antrim. The clock is not going to turn back and the dominance of religion in public life will never come again. The shift in UK social attitudes is permanent and will continue to influence NI opinion slowly but inevitably.

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  31. Rooster Cogburn says:

    Yawn away Bob. Until of course Cameron tells you not to. Then you’ll be saying you’ve never once in your life yawned. Let’s face it, in terms of eating his words, you’re the only bod about this place who even rivals Shillers’ red face.

    As for emailing you – to what end? What are you going to claim to me in private that you won’t simply say here in front of everyone else? That you knew that the decision Reg and Dave took had been taken before you were in fact told? That you in some way contributed to the taking of a decision that you knew nothing about? That the decision taken in any way tallies with the line you’ve pumped out on Slugger for years and years? Seriously Bob, I’m actually sympathetic to the fix you find yourself in: being shafted by an uncaring CCHQ ain’t much fun, but your valiant effort to convince us that you haven’t been isn’t fooling anyone, least of all you.

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  32. The Watchman says:

    I think that any unionist who stood up at a selection meeting in, say, South Antrim and said that he welcomed the declines of chrch-going and Christianity being pushed to the sideines of public wouldn’t have a hope in hell of being selected. Anyone who stood for office on that platform, I suspect, would either infuriate the pious and baffle everyone else. Still, Duncan, if you think you could beat Boxcar Willie on that basis, good luck to you. Just don’t expect your deposit back.

    Also, don’t forget that tides can be turned.

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  33. Duncan Shipley Dalton says:

    [i]I think that any unionist who stood up at a selection meeting in, say, South Antrim and said that he welcomed the declines of chrch-going and Christianity being pushed to the sideines of public wouldn’t have a hope in hell of being selected.[/i]

    Probably true. I don’t think it’s something I would make a centerpiece of any campaign either. On the other hand most people are not going to vote based on how religious or not someone is either. Pushed to the side is maybe too harsh I simply take the view that public life and government should be entirely secular. That’s in line with the 1st Amendment and I think is a sensible way to organize a government. Obviously the UK is not there as the Church of England remains the establishment church and the Queen remains head of the church and the state.

    The tide isn’t going to turn and the 50’s aren’t coming back get used to it.

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  34. Steve says:

    Greenflag

    I believe you are wrong. this century is Canada’s and we owe it all to the Chinese!

    cana is rich in the one thing the world needs….resources. Our only real rival might be Russia if they can develope the infrastructure.

    We owe it to the chinese because they took the economic funnel and turned it into a pyramid. Where onece the least valuable was raw material supply and the most valuable manufacturing China has flipped it to where raw materials provide more stimulus than manufacturing

    As for the US, Clinton left the country in excelent shape but on the cusp of a slow down. Bush cut the brakes and added fuel. His economic plan was a disastwer when Reagan Tried it and it was an even bigger disaster under the toppiary king.

    Ah well its easy for me to be smug after all I live in the only G8 nation that still has a budget surplus. Thanks Paul Martin too bad Chretien put the knife in

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  35. Elvis Parker says:

    Shane Greer hit the nail on the head on Daily Telegraph’s Brassneck – this is about the politics of the union not the politics of unionism

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  36. Peat Blog says:

    “We owe it to the chinese because they took the economic funnel and turned it into a pyramid.”

    Steve,

    Yes, they might also have turned it into a pyramid scheme so I wouldn’t get too cocky just yet.

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  37. Steve says:

    No Peat

    Pyramid schemes are built from the top down pyramids are built from the bottom up.

    besides it doesnt matter who does the manufacturing they still need our minerals, petroleum and foods

    Only thing that could really throw the thing into the drink is a real pandemic that eliminates huge portions of the population. In which case I will be too busy trying to survive to worry about the price of oil

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