Turn out rises in middle class areas…
If there has been an underperformance on the part of Sinn Fein, it may largely be connected with a rise in turn out in areas outside the working class areas where they’ve built their core support.
Advertise
-
Books
-
Do Words Matter?: Book Review of Political Discourse and Conflict Resolution – Debating Peace in Northern Ireland
I share many of the concerns of Andy Pollak, whose recent post ‘My Response to the Slugger Begrudgers’ zeroed in on the ‘relentless flow of negativity’ of some Slugger commentators. Pollak’s post was largely concerned with the medium of the blog. Indeed, I think the anonymity of the online world encourages extreme discourse and allows [...] read our review »
-
Help me with the West Wing: Essential viewing or Party Political Broadcast?
Having somehow managed to avoid watching a single episode of the widely praised West Wing TV series I was delighted to discover the entire Box set in my Christmas stocking – and with enough spare time over the holidays to give it a good lash. But with 10 episodes of the first series under my [...] read our review »
-
The peace process not such a good model after all
Which reminds me…. Platform for Change’s driving force Robin Wilson has produced a corrective to the notion that the lessons of the NI conflict are easily exportable. Like myself, Robin is associated with the Constitution Unit. He introduced his new book in a CU blog which I here reproduce. The water crisis in Northern Ireland [...] read our review »
-
They may lose their Louth seat. Mary-Lou isn’t looking too good either in her attempt to get into the Dáil.
Its up and downs for SF. Mary Lou is in trouble but there has been a massive vote for SF in Donegal North East (32%) going by RTE’s initial tallies. They have also polled 22% in Meath West and RTE are now predicting that they could spring a surprise by taking that seat. I would predict at this stage 8-9 seats perhaps. A rise of 4-5.
The warning with the data from any of these tallies is that RTE’s current tallies are based upon 20-45% of boxes opened which still leaves a lot of room for fluctuation, either way…
Is this a massive mobilisation in the Pimms and Coke brigade to send a message that Sinn Fein isn’t welcome in their area’s?
That’s the sort of military establishment I might consider!