A border poll now isn’t the right option for Irish nationalists

In the Belfast Telegraph today, I have an article outlining my thoughts on Brexit and particularly the options for Irish nationalists and republicans at this time. I don’t believe a border poll at this time is the right call for those interested in pursuing Irish unity. Brexit is a game-changer, particularly if it leads to more…

Did BrExit just solve the Irish question?

  What’s done isn’t quite done. What, for example, are the terms of BrExit exit? And how will they be agreed? Brookings Fellow Tom Wright asks, “If it is right and proper for the people to have a say on EU membership, shouldn’t they also have a say on the outcome of the negotiations to more…

REVERSE, REVERSE

ages

Just the very quickest of thought experiments:  So, I’d be grateful for help in thinking this through. Namely, whether a pro-Remain party (maybe Labour under Jarvis or Chuka, or maybe a reborn Libs), or two, might find themselves with the seat balance after an Autumn snap election.  Standing, say, on a ‘Let’s Not Leave’ platform. Or, for more…

Boris Johnson as the next Winston Churchill: not necessarily a complement

Boris Johnson

The Brexit victory has brought forward its leading light in Boris Johnson. Many now expect him to become the next Tory leader with Cameron having announced his resignation. Against that it must be said that the Tory party does not always forgive the slayer of its previous leader: Michael Heseltine never became leader; though Thatcher more…

Referendum result: DUP in touch with Middle England

Mick has his first thoughts on the EU referendum below. He has pointed out that although the majority of Northern Ireland voted to remain it was close: realistically most unionists voted to leave. To disgress for a moment. Prior to last year’s assembly election people suggested the DUP were beginning to lose touch with substantial more…

So what happens now?

Well, the markets are currently having their say, but I would strongly advise that we look at them in a week and a half and see if they recover from the initial shock. Now for Andy’s predictions on what happens from here. Negotiating our way out The next step is Article 50 notice to leave more…

Northern Ireland votes narrowly for Remain, but what does it mean?

Well, what a night. The final Leave vote will be much narrower than the Yes Vote was in Scotland, and the result much more profound. Although getting out of a long-standing contract with the EU will be a little more complicated. Much of the rapid movement in the money markets have already been exaggerated because more…

Ag cuimhnigh Leo Brennan, óstach flaithiúil (Bearla)…

Screen Shot 2016-06-23 at 17.32.51

Sad news for whoever knew Leo Brennan of Crolly, Co Donegal. Can’t say I knew him that well. The first time I happened in on Leo’s Tavern was early 1977 when myself and another friend from Holywood, sort of, gatecrashed the Easter course at the College in Rannafast. Luckily for us it was a warm more…

Your detailed guide for tonight’s #EURef’s runners and riders…

More good stuff for tonight… Further to Brian Hayes’s outline, here’s another fantastic resource from Slugger’s own electoral expert Nicholas Whyte… APCO’s Guide to Referendum Night from APCO Worldwide And more broadly there’s this from the Press Association. Don’t forget to tune into our live blog from 11 onwards, music, jokes, colour, and maybe a more…

Orange Order rates relief: £8.12m. (Twaddell policing costs: £24m, and counting… )

OO Rates

At the NI Assembly on Monday, Christopher Stalford received an answer to an assembly question directed at Máirtín Ó Muilleoir, the Finance Minister, as to the rates relief statistics for Orange Halls. The response tells us that since April 2006, the Orange institution has saved an estimated £8.12 million by being exempt from paying rates. During this time, more…

#EURef: Count & Results – What we can expect…

Is the EU a liability on the ballot papaer?

The referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU referred to as “Brexit”, has lead to unprecedented Irish interest in UK politics. Given that Ireland and Britain share so much – historically, culturally, politically and economically – it’s not surprising that many here have been watching the campaign so closely. While we have had 9 more…